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Estimating Intertemporal Allocation Parameters using Simulated Expectation Errors

Martin Browning and Sule Alan ()

No 284, Economics Series Working Papers from University of Oxford, Department of Economics

Abstract: There is widespread agreement that given currently available data, we cannot accurately estimate the parameters of intertemporal allocation using GMM on Euler equations, whether they be exact or approximate. Our reading of this literature and our own results is that this is a small sample (strictly, short panel) problem. The alternative seems to be to move to full structural modelling. In the current state of the art this is cumbersome, fragile and unable to deal with significant heterogeneity. We present a novel structural estimation procedure that is based on simulating expectation errors; we refer to it as Simulated Residual Estimation (SRE). We develop variants of the basic procedure that allow us to account for measurement error in consumption, the `news` in interest rate realisations and for heterogeneity in discount factors.

Keywords: Intertemporal Allocation; Expectation Errors; Life-Cycle Models (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D12 D91 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ecm
Date: 2006-10-01
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