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Niekeynesowskie skutki polityki fiskalnej w krajach strefy euro, ze szczegolnym uwzglednieniem wplywu na proces konwergencji gospodarczej

Adam Balcerzak (), Michal Pietrzak () and Elzbieta Rogalska ()
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Elzbieta Rogalska: University of Warmia and Mazury in Olsztyn, Poland

No 15/2014, Working Papers from Institute of Economic Research

Abstract: Last global financial crisis has led to massive fiscal stimulation actions in most of developed countries which resulted in significant increase of their public debt. This can be also said about Eurozone or wider EU economies. This factors in near future will force many EU countries to adopt much stricter middle and long term fiscal policy that will be necessary for deleveraging process. In this context the aim of the research is to check whether can one find non-Keynesian effects of fiscal consolidations in Eurozone countries in last decade. If the answer is positive, then could these non-Keynesian effects be significant developing factor in case of Eurozone countries. The third scientific question concentrates on the ways the fiscal consolidations were implemented and the potential influence of consolidations strategies on short term growth. In the research the econometric dynamic panel model based on the concept of conditional ß-convergence was applied. As a complementary method qualitative analysis of cases of significant contractions was made with the concentration on the differences between expansionary thus non-Keynesian cases and conventional Keynesian cases of fiscal contractions. The research results give some arguments for existence of fiscal transitions channels leading to non-Keynesian effects of fiscal policy, which in the same time can be a factor of ß-conditional convergence.

Keywords: fiscal policy; fiscal consolidations; non-Keynesian effects; conditional convergence; unification of fiscal policy (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: H3 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2014-09, Revised 2014-11
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Published in Przeglad Statystyczny, 61, Zeszyt 4

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