Uncertain Times in Lebanon: How Policy Shocks Ripple through MENA Markets

Sumru Altug, Majdy Barakat, Leila Dagher and Erhan Uluceviz

MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: Despite its small size, Lebanon’s chronic crises send financial shockwaves across the Middle East and North Africa. This column uses a Twitter-based index of economic policy uncertainty to track Lebanon’s instability and shows that it transmits financial shocks to seven MENA economies, with spillovers are strongest for Egypt, Jordan, and smaller Gulf states. Real-time policy uncertainty signals can help regional policymakers and investors manage risk and improve financial resilience.

Keywords: lebanon; economic policy uncertainty; connectedness; twitter-based index (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C4 E2 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025-06
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:pra:mprapa:128302

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