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On crises, contagion, and confusion

Carmen Reinhart and Graciela Kaminsky ()

MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: Since the Tequila crisis of 1994-95, the Asian flu of 1997, and the Russian virus of 1998, economists have been busy producing research on the subject of contagion. Yet, few studies have examined empirically through which channels the disturbances are transmitted if there are, indeed, fundamental reasons for the spillovers we observe. We attempt to fill this gap by analyzing how both trade links and the largely ignored financial sector links influence the pattern of fundamentals-based contagion. We examine the role of international bank lending, the potential for cross-market hedging, and bilateral and third-party trade in the propagation of crises.

Keywords: trade; financial; contagion; bank; lending; currency; crisis; devaluation (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F1 F3 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 1998
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (95)

Published in Journal of International Economics 1.51(2000): pp. 145-168

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