Details about Graciela Laura Kaminsky

E-mail:
Homepage:	https://www.gracielakaminsky.com/
Phone:	(202)994-6686
Postal address:	Department of Economics George Washington University Washington,DC 20052 USA
Workplace:	Department of Economics, George Washington University, (more information at EDIRC) National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER), (more information at EDIRC)

Access statistics for papers by Graciela Laura Kaminsky.

Last updated 2019-08-06. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: pka84

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Jump to Journal Articles Books Chapters

Working Papers

2020

1. The Financial Center Leverage Cycle: Does it Spread Around the World?
   NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc

2019

2. Boom-Bust Capital Flow Cycles
   NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (3)

2017

3. The Center and the Periphery: Two Hundred Years of International Borrowing Cycles
   NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (2)
   Also in MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany (2017) View citations (2)

2016

4. International Borrowing Cycles: A New Historical Database
   NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc

2015

5. Systemic and Idiosyncratic Sovereign Debt Crises
   MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany View citations (3)
   Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2014) View citations (1)
   See also Journal Article in Journal of the European Economic Association (2016)
   Chapter (2013)

2010

6. Terms of Trade Shocks and Fiscal Cycles
   NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (7)
   See also Chapter (2010)

2009

7. Thirty Years of Currency Crises in Argentina: External Shocks or Domestic Fragility?
   NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (5)
   See also Journal Article in Economía Journal (2009)

2008

8. Crises and Sudden Stops: Evidence from International Bond and Syndicated-Loan Markets
   NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (12)
   Also in IMES Discussion Paper Series, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan (2008) View citations (9)
   See also Journal Article in Monetary and Economic Studies (2008)
9. The center and the periphery: The globalization of financial turmoil
   MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany View citations (30)
   Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2003) View citations (79)

2007

10. Latin America's Access to International Capital Markets: Good Behavior or Global Liquidity?
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (5)
    See also Chapter (2008)
11. Volatility in International Financial Market Issuance: The Role of the Financial Center
    Working Papers, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research View citations (3)
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2006) View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article in Open Economies Review (2007)

2005

12. International Capital Flows, Financial Stability and Growth
    Working Papers, United Nations, Department of Economics and Social Affairs View citations (5)

2004

13. When it Rains, it Pours: Procyclical Capital Flows and Macroeconomic Policies
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (349)
    Also in MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany (2004) View citations (362)
    See also Chapter (2005)

2003

14. Short-Run Pain, Long-Run Gain: The Effects of Financial Liberalization
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (205)
    Also in Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank (2002) View citations (56)
15. The Unholy Trinity of Financial Contagion
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (266)
    Also in MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany (2003) View citations (255)
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany (2002) View citations (9)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Economic Perspectives (2003)
16. Varieties of Currency Crises
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (62)

2002

17. Financial markets in time of stress
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany View citations (13)
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2001) View citations (31)
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany (2002) View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Development Economics (2002)

2001

18. Bank Lending and Contagion: Evidence from the Asian Crisis
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany View citations (36)
    See also Chapter (2001)
19. Emerging markets instability: do sovereign ratings affect country risk and stock returns?
    Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank View citations (21)
    See also Journal Article in World Bank Economic Review (2002)
20. Mutual fund investment in emerging markets - an overview
    Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank View citations (66)
21. Short and long-run integration: do capital controls matter ?
    Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank View citations (8)

2000

22. Assessing financial vulnerability, an early warning system for emerging markets: Introduction
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany View citations (271)
23. Crisis financieras en Asia y Latinoamerica: ahora y entonces
    (Financial Crises in Asia and Latin America Different: Then and Now)
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany
    Also in MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany (1998) View citations (105)
    See also Journal Article in American Economic Review (1998)
24. Early Warning System: An Assessment of Vulnerability
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany View citations (3)
    Also in MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany (2000)
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany (2000)
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany (2000) View citations (1)
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany (2000) View citations (1)
25. Early Warning System: Empirical Results from The Signals Approach
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany View citations (1)
    Also in MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany (2000) View citations (1)
    See also Chapter (2017)
26. Las crisis gemelas: las causas de los problemas bancarios y de balanza de pagos
    (The twin crises: Te causes of banking and balance of payments problems)
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany View citations (3)
    Also in International Finance Discussion Papers, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) (1996) View citations (538)
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany (1999) View citations (1873)
    See also Journal Article in American Economic Review (1999)
27. Managers, Investors, and Crises: Mutual Fund Strategies in Emerging Markets
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (29)
    Also in Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank (2000) View citations (32)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of International Economics (2004)

1999

28. Currency and Banking Crises; The Early Warnings of Distress
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (129)
    Also in International Finance Discussion Papers, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) (1998) View citations (57)
29. Has the Nature of Crises Changed? A Quarter Century of Currency Crises in Argentina
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (17)
30. What triggers market jitters: a chronicle of the Asian crisis
    International Finance Discussion Papers, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) View citations (209)
    Also in Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank (1999) View citations (178)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of International Money and Finance (1999)

1998

31. A Switching-Regime Model for the Spanish Inflation: 1962-1997
    Working Papers, Banco de España
32. Leading Indicators of Currency Crises
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany View citations (737)
    Also in Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank (1997) View citations (237)
    See also Journal Article in IMF Staff Papers (1998)
33. On crises, contagion, and confusion
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany View citations (79)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of International Economics (2000)

1996

34. Does foreign exchange intervention signal future monetary policy?
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia View citations (114)
    Also in Weiss Center Working Papers, Wharton School - Weiss Center for International Financial Research (1992) View citations (6)
    Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) (1993) View citations (17)
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1993) View citations (17)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Monetary Economics (1996)
35. High Real Interest Rates in the Aftermath of Disinflation: Is It a Lack of Credibility
    Working Papers, Tel Aviv View citations (2)
    Also in International Finance Discussion Papers, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) (1996) View citations (3)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Development Economics (1998)

1994

36. The Real Exchange Rate and Fiscal Policy During the Gold Standard PeriodEvidence from the United States and Great Britain
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (2)
    Also in International Finance Discussion Papers, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) (1994) View citations (4)
37. The debt crisis: lessons of the 1980's for the 1990's
    International Finance Discussion Papers, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Development Economics (1996)

1993

38. High real interest rates in the aftermath of disinflation: actual or expected?
    Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) View citations (1)

1990

39. Time Varying Risk Premia in Futures Markets
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (1)

1989

40. Nominal Exchange Rate Regimes and the Real Exhange Rate, Evidence from the U.S. and Britain, 1885-1986
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (1)

Undated

41. Inflation regimes and stabilization policies, Spain 1962-1997
    Studies on the Spanish Economy, FEDEA

Journal Articles

2017

1. Globalización en la periferia: qué se gana y qué se pierde en la política monetaria
   Boletín, 2017, LXIII, (2), 121-132

2016

2. SYSTEMIC AND IDIOSYNCRATIC SOVEREIGN DEBT CRISES
   Journal of the European Economic Association, 2016, 14, (1), 80-114 View citations (9)
   Also in Journal of the European Economic Association, 2016, 14, (1), 80-114 (2016) View citations (10)
   See also Working Paper (2015)
   Chapter (2013)

2009

3. Thirty Years of Currency Crises in Argentina: External Shocks or Domestic Fragility?
   Economía Journal, 2009, Volume 10 Number 1, (Fall 2009), 81-123 View citations (5)
   See also Working Paper (2009)

2008

4. Crises and Sudden Stops: Evidence from International Bond and Syndicated-Loan Markets
   Monetary and Economic Studies, 2008, 26, 107-130 View citations (9)
   See also Working Paper (2008)
5. Short-Run Pain, Long-Run Gain: Financial Liberalization and Stock Market Cycles
   Review of Finance, 2008, 12, (2), 253-292 View citations (86)

2007

6. Emerging Markets and Financial Globalization Sovereign Bond Spreads in 1870-1913 and Today
   Journal of International Economics, 2007, 73, (1), 219-222
7. Volatility in International Financial Market Issuance: The Role of the Financial Center
   Open Economies Review, 2007, 18, (2), 157-176 View citations (1)
   See also Working Paper (2007)

2006

8. Currency crises: Are they all the same?
   Journal of International Money and Finance, 2006, 25, (3), 503-527 View citations (96)

2004

9. Flux internationaux de capitaux: bénédiction ou malédiction ?
   Revue d’économie du développement, 2004, 12, (3), 83-119
10. Managers, investors, and crises: mutual fund strategies in emerging markets
    Journal of International Economics, 2004, 64, (1), 113-134 View citations (109)
    See also Working Paper (2000)

2003

11. Inflation regimes and stabilisation policies: Spain 1962-2001
    Investigaciones Economicas, 2003, 27, (3), 615-631 View citations (1)
12. Küreselleşme, Sermaye Hareketleri Ve Finansal Krizler - 1
    Iktisat Isletme ve Finans, 2003, 18, (212), 16-19
13. The Unholy Trinity of Financial Contagion
    Journal of Economic Perspectives, 2003, 17, (4), 51-74 View citations (312)
    See also Working Paper (2003)

2002

14. Emerging Market Instability: Do Sovereign Ratings Affect Country Risk and Stock Returns?
    World Bank Economic Review, 2002, 16, (2), 171-195 View citations (123)
    See also Working Paper (2001)
15. Financial markets in times of stress
    Journal of Development Economics, 2002, 69, (2), 451-470 View citations (48)
    See also Working Paper (2002)

2000

16. Assessing Financial Vulnerability in Emerging Economies: A Summary of Empirical Results
    East Asian Economic Review, 2000, 4, (2), 101-147
17. On crises, contagion, and confusion
    Journal of International Economics, 2000, 51, (1), 145-168 View citations (558)
    See also Working Paper (1998)

1999

18. Notas sobre crisis financieras
    Revista Desarrollo y Sociedad, 1999
19. The Twin Crises: The Causes of Banking and Balance-of-Payments Problems
    American Economic Review, 1999, 89, (3), 473-500 View citations (2177)
    See also Working Paper (2000)
20. What triggers market jitters?: A chronicle of the Asian crisis
    Journal of International Money and Finance, 1999, 18, (4), 537-560 View citations (204)
    See also Working Paper (1999)

1998

21. Financial Crises in Asia and Latin America: Then and Now
    American Economic Review, 1998, 88, (2), 444-48 View citations (143)
    See also Working Paper (2000)
22. High real interest rates in the aftermath of disinflation: is it a lack of credibility?
    Journal of Development Economics, 1998, 55, (1), 191-214 View citations (14)
    See also Working Paper (1996)
23. Leading Indicators of Currency Crises
    IMF Staff Papers, 1998, 45, (1), 1-48 View citations (844)
    See also Working Paper (1998)

1996

24. Does foreign exchange intervention signal future monetary policy?
    Journal of Monetary Economics, 1996, 37, (2-3), 285-312 View citations (114)
    See also Working Paper (1996)
25. The debt crisis: lessons of the 1980s for the 1990s
    Journal of Development Economics, 1996, 50, (1), 1-24 View citations (20)
    See also Working Paper (1994)

1993

26. Is There a Peso Problem? Evidence from the Dollar/Pound Exchange Rate, 1976-1987
    American Economic Review, 1993, 83, (3), 450-72 View citations (66)

1991

27. Credibility crises: the dollar in the early 1980s
    Journal of International Money and Finance, 1991, 10, (2), 170-192 View citations (7)
28. Debt relief and debt rescheduling: The optimal-contract approach
    Journal of Development Economics, 1991, 36, (1), 5-36 View citations (11)
29. Nominal exchange rate regimes and the real exchange rate: Evidence from the United States and Great Britain, 1885-1986
    Journal of Monetary Economics, 1991, 27, (2), 191-212 View citations (72)

1990

30. Can a time-varying risk premium explain excess returns in the forward market for foreign exchange?
    Journal of International Economics, 1990, 28, (1-2), 47-70 View citations (30)
31. Efficiency in Commodity Futures Markets
    IMF Staff Papers, 1990, 37, (3), 670-699 View citations (9)

1986

32. Uncertainty, expectations of devaluation, and the real exchange rate
    Journal of Development Economics, 1986, 24, (1), 29-57 View citations (2)

Books

Chapters

2017

1. Methodology and Empirical Results
   Chapter 11 in TRADE CURRENCIES AND FINANCE, 2017, pp 397-436
   See also Working Paper (2000)

2013

2. Systemic and Idiosyncratic Sovereign Debt Crises
   A chapter in Sovereign Debt and Financial Crises, 2013
   See also Journal Article in Journal of the European Economic Association (2016)
   Working Paper (2015)

2010

3. Terms of Trade Shocks and Fiscal Cycles
   A chapter in Inflation in an Era of Relative Price Shocks, 2010 View citations (8)
   See also Working Paper (2010)

2008

4. Financial Globalization and Exchange Rate Arrangements
   Chapter 4 in Currency and Competitiveness in Europe, 2008
5. International Capital Flows to Emerging Countries: Short- and Long-run Effects
   Chapter 41 in International Handbook of Development Economics, Volumes 1 & 2, 2008
6. Latin America´s Access to International Capital Markets: Good Behavior or Global Liquidity?
   Chapter 4 in Current Account and External Financing, 2008, vol. 12, pp 117-158 View citations (4)
   See also Working Paper (2007)

2005

7. When It Rains, It Pours: Procyclical Capital Flows and Macroeconomic Policies
   A chapter in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2004, Volume 19, 2005, pp 11-82 View citations (306)
   See also Working Paper (2004)

2001

8. Bank Lending and Contagion: Evidence from the Asian Crisis
   A chapter in Regional and Global Capital Flows: Macroeconomic Causes and Consequences, 2001, pp 73-99 View citations (82)
   See also Working Paper (2001)