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Dutch Disease Effect of Oil Rents on Agriculture Value Added in MENA Countries

Nicholas Apergis (), Ghassen El Montasser, Emmanuel Owusu-Sekyere (), Ahdi Noomen Ajmi and Rangan Gupta ()

No 201408, Working Papers from University of Pretoria, Department of Economics

Abstract: This paper investigates the effect of oil rents on agriculture value added in oil producing Middle Eastern and North African (MENA) countries. Annual data from 1970 to 2011, panel cointegration tests by Pedroni (1999), long ran panel causality tests by Canning and Pedroni (2008), and two-step System GMM by Blundell and Bond (1998) are used in this study. We find a negative relationship between oil rents and agriculture value added in the long run, with a rather slow rate of short run adjustment of agriculture value added back to equilibrium after a boom in oil rents. These results indicate that an oil sector boom is associated with a contraction in the agriculture sectors of the countries in the panel in the long run. This is probably attributable to a resource movement effect from other economic sectors to the booming oil sector in these countries. This serves as evidence of a Dutch disease effect of an oil sector boom on agriculture in the MENA countries in this study.

Keywords: Dutch disease; oil rents; agriculture value added; Middle East and North African countries (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C33 F31 N55 N57 O53 O55 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2014-03
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