Estimating the Probability of Leaving Unemployment Using Uncompleted Spells from Repeated Cross-section Data

Maia Guell and Luojia Hu
Additional contact information
Maia Guell: Universitat Pompeu Fabra and CEP (LSE), CEPR and IZA

No 854, Working Papers from Princeton University, Department of Economics, Industrial Relations Section.

Abstract: We propose a new econometric estimation method for analyzing the probability of leaving unemployment using uncompleted spells from repeated cross-section data, which can be especially useful when panel data are not available. The proposed method-of-moments-based estimator has two important features: (1) it estimates the exit probability at the individual level and (2) it does not rely on the stationarity assumption of the inflow composition. We illustrate and gauge the performance of the proposed estimator using the Spanish Labor Force Survey data, and analyze the changes in distribution of unemployment between the 1980s and 1990s during a period of labor market reform. We find that the relative probability of leaving unemployment of the short-term unemployed versus the long-term unemployed becomes significantly higher in the 1990s.

Keywords: repeated cross-section data; GMM; duration analysis; unemployment (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: P40 P41 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2003-05
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
https://dataspace.princeton.edu/bitstream/88435/dsp019p290934d/1/475.pdf
Our link check indicates that this URL is bad, the error code is: 500 Internal Server Error

Related works:
Working Paper: Estimating the Probability of Leaving Unemployment using Uncompleted Spells from Repeated Cross-Section Data (2015)
Journal Article: Estimating the probability of leaving unemployment using uncompleted spells from repeated cross-section data (2006)
Working Paper: Estimating the Probability of Leaving Unemployment Using Uncompleted Spells from Repeated Cross-Section Data (2004)
Working Paper: Estimating the Probability of Leaving Unemployment Using Uncompleted Spells from Repeated Cross-Section Data (2003)
Working Paper: Estimating the probability of leaving unemployment using uncompleted spells from repeated cross-section data (2003)
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:pri:indrel:475

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in Working Papers from Princeton University, Department of Economics, Industrial Relations Section. Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Bobray Bordelon ().