Dynamic Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks on Macroeconomic Volatility

Haroon Mumtaz and Konstantinos Theodoridis

No 760, Working Papers from Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance

Abstract: We use a simple New Keynesian model, with firm specific capital, non-zero steady-state inflation, long-run risks and Epstein-Zin preferences to study the volatility implications of a monetary policy shock. An unexpected increases in the policy rate by 150 basis points causes output and inflation volatility to rise around 10% above their steady-state standard deviations. VAR based empirical results support the model implications that contractionary shocks increase volatility. The volatility effects of the shock are driven by agents' concern about the (in)ability of the monetary authority to reverse deviations from the policy rule and the results are re-enforced by the presence of non-zero trend inflation.

Keywords: DSGE; Non-linear SVAR; New Keynesian; Non-zero steady state inflation; Epstein-Zin preferences; Stochastic volatility (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C11 C13 C15 C50 E30 E40 E52 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2015-11-28
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (3)

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Related works:
Journal Article: Dynamic effects of monetary policy shocks on macroeconomic volatility (2020)
Working Paper: Dynamic Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks on Macroeconomic Volatility (2018)
Working Paper: Dynamic Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks on Macroeconomic Volatility (2015)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:qmw:qmwecw:760

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