2000년 이후 러시아 경제성장 요인 분석과 지속성장을 위한 과제(Russian Economic Growth after 2000: Assessment and Suggestions)

Minhyeon Jeong () and Jiyoung Min ()
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Minhyeon Jeong: Korea Institute for International Economic Policy, Postal: Building C, Sejong National Research Complex, 370, Sicheong-daero, Sejong-si,Korea, http://www.kiep.go.kr/index.do
Jiyoung Min: Korea Institute for International Economic Policy, Postal: Building C, Sejong National Research Complex, 370, Sicheong-daero, Sejong-si,Korea, http://www.kiep.go.kr/index.do

No 19-3, Policy Reference from Korea Institute for International Economic Policy

Abstract: 본고에서는 국면전환 추정(break-point estimation) 방법을 활용하여 2000~14년까지의 러시아 경제성장 국면을 2000~03년, 2004~07년, 그리고 2008~14년 세 시기로 구분한다. 그 후, 각 성장 국면의 주요 성장요인을 성장회계(growth accounting) 방법을 통해 분석한다. 그리고 앞에서 식별한 성장 국면이 ‘생산성이 성장에 기여한 정도’에 의해 특징지어짐을 보인다. This paper investigates Russian economic growth after 2000. We first identify growth regimes of the Russian economy between 2000 and 2014 by using the break-point estimation. Russia’s economic growth during the period turns out to have three different regimes, the first, second and third of which are 2000-03, 2004-07 and 2008-14, respectively. We notice through growth accounting that total factor productivity (TFP, henceforth) led growth during the first regime in terms of its contribution to growth. However, TFP’s contribution to growth has diminished since the second regime, while capital accumulation has contributed to growth the most.

Keywords: 러시아; 경제; 성장; 생산성; 무역; FTA (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: A10 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 89 pages
Date: 2019-06-21
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