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Country Risk Analysis Based on Demographic and Socio-Economic Data

Анализ страновых рисков с использованием демографических и социально-экономических данных

Korotaev, Andrey (Коротаев, Андрей) (), Sergey Shulgin and Zinkina, Yulia (Зинькина, Юлия) ()
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Korotaev, Andrey (Коротаев, Андрей): Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)
Zinkina, Yulia (Зинькина, Юлия): Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)

Authors registered in the RePEc Author Service: Andrey Korotayev ()

Working Papers from Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration

Abstract: The paper analyzes six existing methodologies for assessing socio-political risks (the Index of Political Instability, the model Koplin's country political risks - O'Leary; Index of Lager's peace and conflict instability; Global Peace Index; The George Mason University Instability Index; Index of failed and unstable states). A theoretical model of social instability is analyzed, a methodology of Network analysis is introduced, and a forecast of country risks for the most unstable Countries is provided.

Pages: 69 pages
Date: 2017-03
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-dcm and nep-rmg
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