Details about Andrey Korotayev

Access statistics for papers by Andrey Korotayev.

Last updated 2025-04-07. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: pko540

Working Papers

2021

1. Education And Revolutions. Why Do Revolutionary Uprisings Take Violent Or Nonviolent Forms?
   HSE Working papers, National Research University Higher School of Economics

2020

2. The 2010 Structural-Demographic Forecast for the 2010–2020 Decade: A Retrospective Assessment
   SocArXiv, Center for Open Science View citations (1)

2017

3. World Order Transformation and Sociopolitical Destabilization
   HSE Working papers, National Research University Higher School of Economics

2016

4. Global economic dynamics of the forthcoming years. A forecast
   Papers, arXiv.org
5. Negative oil price bubble is likely to burst in March - May 2016. A forecast on the basis of the law of log-periodical dynamics
   Papers, arXiv.org View citations (2)

2015

6. East africa in the Malthusian trap? A statistical analysis of financial, economic, and demographic indicators
   Papers, arXiv.org View citations (1)

2013

7. Kondratieff Waves in the World System Perspective
   Macroeconomics, Socionet View citations (5)
8. Kondratieff's Mystery
   Method and History of Economic Thought, Socionet View citations (3)

2012

9. A Compact Mathematical Model of the World System Economic and Demographic Growth, 1 CE - 1973 CE
   Papers, arXiv.org View citations (1)
10. Global Inflation Dynamics: regularities & forecasts
    Papers, arXiv.org

2011

11. The Second Wave of the Global Crisis? A Log-Periodic Oscillation Analysis of Commodity Price Series
    Papers, arXiv.org

2010

12. Log-Periodic Oscillation Analysis and Possible Burst of the "Gold Bubble" in April - June 2011
    Papers, arXiv.org View citations (5)

Journal Articles

2024

1. A Troubled Return to the Homeland: Syrian Circassians in Southern Russia
   Europe-Asia Studies, 2024, 76, (4), 613-631

2022

2. 20th Century revolutions: characteristics, types, and waves
   Palgrave Communications, 2022, 9, (1), 1-13
3. COVID-19 pandemic as a trigger for the acceleration of the cybernetic revolution, transition from e-government to e-state, and change in social relations
   Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 2022, 175, (C) View citations (6)

2021

4. Deprivation, instability, and propensity to attack: how urbanization influences terrorism
   International Interactions, 2021, 47, (6), 1100-1130 View citations (1)
5. Economic Growth, Education, and Terrorism: A Re-Analysis
   Terrorism and Political Violence, 2021, 33, (3), 572-595

2020

6. A quantitative analysis of worldwide long-term technology growth: From 40,000 BCE to the early 22nd century
   Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 2020, 155, (C) View citations (2)

2018

7. Oil prices, socio-political destabilization risks, and future energy technologies
   Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 2018, 128, (C), 304-310 View citations (14)
8. Измерение межстранового культурного расстояния через ценностные различия между индивидами и его влияния на глобальную торговлю
   Журнал Экономика и математические методы (ЭММ), 2018, 54, (1), 3-25

2017

9. Forthcoming Kondratieff wave, Cybernetic Revolution, and global ageing
   Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 2017, 115, (C), 52-68 View citations (14)
10. “Neighbors in values”: A new dataset of cultural distances between countries based on individuals’ values, and its application to the study of global trade
    Research in International Business and Finance, 2017, 42, (C), 966-985 View citations (3)

2015

11. East Africa in the Malthusian Trap?
    Journal of Developing Societies, 2015, 31, (3), 385-420 View citations (7)

2013

12. Economic Dynamics of the United States in 1990—2011: Keynesian Analysis
    Voprosy Ekonomiki, 2013, (1)

2012

13. The origins of dragon-kings and their occurrence in society
    Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 2012, 391, (21), 5215-5229 View citations (1)

2008

14. Book review: Akop P. Nazaretyan, Anthropology of violence and culture of self-organization. Essays in evolutionary historical psychology, 2nd edition, Moscow, URSS, 2008, 256 pages (in Russian)
    The Journal of Philosophical Economics, 2008, 2, (1), 147-152
15. Компактная математическая модель экономического и демографического роста Мир-Системы (1-1973 гг.)
    Журнал Экономика и математические методы (ЭММ), 2008, 44, (4)

Edited books

2022

1. Handbook of Revolutions in the 21st Century
   Societies and Political Orders in Transition, Springer View citations (2)

Chapters

2022

1. Conclusion. How Many Revolutions Will We See in the Twenty-First Century?
   Springer
2. Egypt’s 2011 Revolution: A Demographic Structural Analysis
   Springer
3. Global Echo of the Arab Spring
   Springer
4. Introduction. Changing Yet Persistent: Revolutions and Revolutionary Events
   Springer
5. Revolutions, Counterrevolutions, and Democracy
   Springer
6. The Arab Spring in Yemen
   Springer
7. The Arab Spring. A Quantitative Analysis
   Springer
8. The Arab Spring: Causes, Conditions, and Driving Forces
   Springer
9. The Phenomenon and Theories of Revolutions
   Springer

2021

10. Russia-GCC Relations and the Future of Syria: Political Process and Prospects for the Economic Reconstruction
    Springer

2017

11. The MANBRIC-Technologies in the Forthcoming Technological Revolution
    Springer View citations (2)