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Are 'Deep' Parameters Stable? The Lucas Critique as an Empirical Hypothesis

Jeffrey Fuhrer () and Arturo Estrella

No 621, Computing in Economics and Finance 1999 from Society for Computational Economics

Abstract: For years, the problems associated with the Lucas critique have loomed over empirical macroeconomics. However, relatively little effort has been devoted to testing the empirical importance of this critique. This paper develops a set of tests for small macroeconometric models, especially those used for monetary policy analysis, and implements them on a set of models used extensively in the literature. In particular, I attempt to test the robustness of optimizing versus non-optimizing models to changes in the monetary policy regime.

New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-dge
Date: 1999-03-01
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