Effects of a Cash Transfer Program on Origin-Destination Migration Flows

Gabriel Lyrio de Oliveira and André Chagas

No 2017_28, Working Papers, Department of Economics from University of São Paulo (FEA-USP)

Abstract: In this research we estimate the effects of the management of a cash transfer program, the Bolsa Familia, on migration flows among Brazilian municipalities from 2008 to 2010. We consider the aggregated origin-destination flows coming from a Spatial Dependent Discrete Choice Model, and focus on the interest variables of release of resources and surveillance of the Program. Then, we discuss the possible lying mechanisms relating the interest variables and individual migration decisions. Each mechanism differs according to the individual status, beneficiary of the program or not, income profile, specific characteristics of its home municipality and of potential destinations. Among our results, the control variables appear in agreement with the main findings of migration literature, and the management of the program was revealed relevant to the beneficiary and potential beneficiary locational choices, specially the release of resources.

Keywords: Migration; Origin-Destination Flow; Discrete Choice; Spatial Dependence; Bolsa Fam�lia. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: O15 R12 R23 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2017-10-31
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-geo, nep-mig and nep-ure
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Related works:
Journal Article: Effects of a cash transfer programme on origin–destination migration flows (2020)
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