Artificial Intelligence and Employment: A Look into the Crystal Ball

Dario Guarascio, Jelena Reljic and Roman Stöllinger

No 174, CIMEO Working Paper Series from Centre for Investigation and Modelling of Experimental Observations (CIMEO)

Abstract: This paper provides evidence on the employment impact of artificial intelligence exposure in European regions. Building on occupation-based AI-exposure indicators mapped to the European occupational classification, the study analyses regional employment dynamics between 2011 and 2018. After controlling for a wide range of supply and demand factors, the results indicate that AI exposure has, on average, a positive impact on regional employment. European regions with a larger share of AI-exposed occupations display more favourable employment dynamics once potential endogeneity concerns are mitigated. The paper also finds evidence of a moderating effect of robot density on the AI-employment nexus, although this relationship lacks a causal underpinning.

Keywords: Artificial intelligence; industrial robots; labour; regional employment; occupations; technological change (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: J21 J23 O33 R1 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023-10
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ter:wpaper:00174

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