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Business Cycles, the Current Account, and Administered Protection in Mexico

Joseph Francois and Gunnar Niels ()
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Gunnar Niels: OXERA, and Erasmus University Rotterdam

No 03-054/2, Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers from Tinbergen Institute

Abstract: Antidumping actions in the United States and EU are knownto be linked to macroeconomic conditions. In part, this is becausepositive injury findings may be easier to make in a downturn. Weexplore the evidence for Mexico, one of the main "new" antidumpingusing countries. Injury determination is also critica! in Mexico'santidumping policy, as a majority of unsuccessful complaints have beenrejected because of negative injury findings rather than negative findingsof dumping. Working with data from 1987 through 2000, we provideevidence for a relationship between macro-economic factors andantidumping complaints, including current account and exchange ratemovements, and both local and global general macroeconomicconditions.

Keywords: antidumping; politica! economy of trade policy; Mexico. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F10 F13 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2003-06-18
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (5)

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