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Assessing Budget Support with Statistical Impact Evaluation: a Methodological Proposal

Chris Elbers (), Jan Willem Gunning () and Kobus de Hoop ()
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Kobus de Hoop: VU University Amsterdam

No 07-075/2, Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers from Tinbergen Institute

Abstract: Donor agencies and recipient governments want to assess the effectiveness of aid-supported sector policies. Unfortunately, existing methods for impact evaluation are designed for the evaluation of homogeneous interventions (‘projects’) where those with and without ‘treatment’ can be compared. The lack of a methodology for evaluations of sector-wide programs is a serious constraint in the debate on aid effectiveness. We propose a method of statistical impact evaluation in situations with heterogeneous interventions, an extension of the double differencing method often used in project evaluations. We illustrate its feasibility with an example from the education sector in Zambia.

Keywords: Impact Evaluation; Sector-Wide Programs; Aid Effectiveness; Education; Africa; Zambia (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F35 H43 N37 O10 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2007-09-24, Revised 2007-12-31
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:tin:wpaper:20070075

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