Modeling Migration Dynamics of Immigrants

Govert Bijwaard

No 08-070/4, Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers from Tinbergen Institute

Abstract: In this paper we analyze the demographic factors that influence the migration dynamics of recent immigrants to The Netherlands. We show how we can allow for both permanent and temporary migrants. Based on data from Statistics Netherlands we analyze both the departure and the return from abroad for recent non-Dutch immigrants to The Netherlands. Results disclose differences among migrants by migration motive and by country of origin and lend support to our analytical framework. Combining both models, for departure and returning, provides the probability that a specific migrant ends-up in The Netherlands. It also yields a framework for predicting the migration dynamics over the life-cycle. From the obtained insight in the dynamic composition of migrants in the country important policy implications can be derived, including admission procedures for different countries and/or migration motives.

Keywords: return migration; migration dynamics; mover-stayer model (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C41 F22 J10 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2008-07-18
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (6)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:tin:wpaper:20080070

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