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A Meta-Analysis of the Equity Premium

Casper Ewijk (), Henri de Groot () and Coos Santing
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Coos Santing: Ministry of Finance, The Hague

No 10-078/3, Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers from Tinbergen Institute

Abstract: The equity premium is a key parameter in asset allocation policies. There is a vigorous debate in the literature regarding the actual measurement of the equity premium, its size and the determinants of its variation. This study aims to take stock of this literature by means of a meta-analysis. We identify how the size of the equity premium depends on the way it is measured, along with its evolution over time and its variation across regions in the world. We find that the equity premium is significantly lower if measured by ex ante methods rather than ex post, in more recent periods, and for more developed countries. In addition, looking at the underlying fundamentals, we find that larger volatility in GDP growth tends to raise the equity premium while a higher nominal interest rate has a negative impact on the equity premium. Published in 'Journal of Empirical Finance' .

Keywords: equity premium; meta-analysis (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D53 E44 G12 N20 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2010-08-23
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Related works:
Journal Article: A meta-analysis of the equity premium (2012) Downloads
Working Paper: A meta-analysis of the equity premium (2010) Downloads
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