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The R-package MitISEM: Efficient and Robust Simulation Procedures for Bayesian Inference

Nalan Baştürk, Stefano Grassi (), Lennart Hoogerheide, Anne Opschoor and Herman van Dijk
Additional contact information
Lennart Hoogerheide: VU University Amsterdam, the Netherlands
Anne Opschoor: VU University Amsterdam, the Netherlands

No 15-042/III, Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers from Tinbergen Institute

Abstract: This paper presents the R-package MitISEM (mixture of t by importance sampling weighted expectation maximization) which provides an automatic and flexible two-stage method to approximate a non-elliptical target density kernel -- typically a posterior density kernel -- using an adaptive mixture of Student- t densities as approximating density. In the first stage a mixture of Student- t densities is fitted to the target using an expectation maximization (EM) algorithm where each step of the optimization procedure is weighted using importance sampling. In the second stage this mixture density is a candidate density for efficient and robust application of importance sampling or the Metropolis-Hastings (MH) method to estimate properties of the target distribution. The package enables Bayesian inference and prediction on model parameters and probabilities, in particular, for models where densities have multi-modal or other non-elliptical shapes like curved ridges. These shapes occur in research topics in several scientific fields. For instance, analysis of DNA data in bio-informatics, obtaining loans in the banking sector by heterogeneous groups in financial economics and analysis of education's effect on earned income in labor economics. The package MitISEM provides also an extended algorithm, 'sequential MitISEM', which substantially decreases computation time when the target density has to be approximated for increasing data samples.

Keywords: finite mixtures; Student-t densities; importance sampling; MCMC; Metropolis-Hastings algorithm; expectation maximization; Bayesian inference; R-software (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C01 C11 C87 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2015-03-30, Revised 2017-07-04
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (5)

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https://papers.tinbergen.nl/15042.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
Journal Article: The R Package MitISEM: Efficient and Robust Simulation Procedures for Bayesian Inference (2017) Downloads
Working Paper: The R package MitISEM: Efficient and robust simulation procedures for Bayesian inference (2017) Downloads
Working Paper: The R package MitISEM: efficient and robust simulation procedures for Bayesian inference (2015) Downloads
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