Estimating the Lifecycle Fertility Consequences of WWII Using Bunching

Esmee Zwiers

No 24-027/V, Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers from Tinbergen Institute

Abstract: In the Netherlands, an immediate baby boom followed the end of WWII and the baby bust of the 1930s. I propose a novel application of the bunching methodology to examine whether the war shifted the timing of fertility or changed women’s completed fertility. I disaggregate the number of births by age for cohorts of mothers, and estimate counterfactual distributions of births by exploiting that women experienced the war at different ages. I show that the rise in fertility after the liberation did not make up for the “missed†births that did not occur prior to the war, as fertility would have been 9.4% higher in absence of WWII.

Keywords: Lifecycle fertility; bunching; World War II; The Netherlands (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: J11 J13 J18 N34 N44 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024-04-17
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-dem and nep-his
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Related works:
Working Paper: Estimating the Lifecycle Fertility Consequences of WWII Using Bunching (2024)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:tin:wpaper:20240027

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