Trust in flood protection: Spillovers from prior experience with non-flood hazards

Takis Antonopoulos and David-Jan Jansen
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Takis Antonopoulos: Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam
David-Jan Jansen: Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam

No 26-034/IV, Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers from Tinbergen Institute

Abstract: There is already evidence that experiencing a natural hazard shapes how people subsequently evaluate public protection and risk management. Using three surveys among 2,272 Dutch homeowners, we indeed find that owners confronted with flood-related property damage are 18.2 percentage points (p.p.) less likely to trust flood protection. But, we also find that experience spills over across hazard domains. Damage due to rainfall is associated with a 4.2 p.p. lower trust in flood protection. We also find indications that experiencing earthquake-related damage affects trust in flood protection. This evidence for spillovers highlights the importance of broad-based, multi-hazard risk communication and governance strategies.

Keywords: natural hazards; trust; prior experience; flood protection (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2026-06-11
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