A Replication of 'Do Voters Affect or Elect Policies? Evidence from the U.S. House' (The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2004)
No 1518, Working Papers from Tulane University, Department of Economics
I replicate Lee, Moretti, and Butler (2004) "Do Voters Affect or Elect Policies? Evidence from the US House." Quarterly Journal of Economics, 119(3), 807-59, using new advances in regression discontinuity design methodology. Specifically, I use local linear regression with optimal bandwidths (Imbens and Kalyanaraman, 2012) and I follow advice on polynomial modelling in Lee and Lemieux (2010). I also run McCrary (2008)'s density test as an additional robustness check to investigate sorting around the treatment cut-off. I investigate the sensitivity of estimates to polynomial order, bandwidth, and to the inclusion of covariates. The conclusion of Lee, Moretti, and Butler (2004) that voters "elect" rather than "affect" policies still holds under this more rigorous scrutiny.
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