Analyzing Social Experiments as Implemented: A Reexamination of the Evidence From the HighScope Perry Preschool Program

James Heckman, Seong Hyeok Moon, Rodrigo Pinto, Peter Savelyev () and Adam Yavitz
Additional contact information
Seong Hyeok Moon: Department of Economics, University of Chicago
Adam Yavitz: Economic Research Center, University of Chicago

No 201034, Working Papers from Geary Institute, University College Dublin

Abstract: Social experiments are powerful sources of information about the effectiveness of interventions. In practice, initial randomization plans are almost always compromised. Multiple hypotheses are frequently tested. "Signi cant" effects are often reported with p-values that do not account for preliminary screening from a large candidate pool of possible effects. This paper develops tools for analyzing data from experiments as they are actually implemented. We apply these tools to analyze the influential HighScope Perry Preschool Program. The Perry program was a social experiment that provided preschool education and home visits to disadvantaged children during their preschool years. It was evaluated by the method of random assignment. Both treatments and controls have been followed from age 3 through age 40. Previous analyses of the Perry data assume that the planned randomization protocol was implemented. In fact, as in many social experiments, the intended randomization protocol was compromised. Accounting for compromised randomization, multiple-hypothesis testing, and small sample sizes, we find statistically significant and economically important program effects for both males and females. We also examine the representativeness of the Perry study.

Keywords: early childhood intervention; compromised randomization; social experiment; multiple-hypothesis testing (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C93 I21 J15 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 57 pages
Date: 2010-07-22
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ecm
References: View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (237)

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http://www.ucd.ie/geary/static/publications/workingpapers/gearywp201034.pdf First version, 2010 (application/pdf)

Related works:
Journal Article: Analyzing social experiments as implemented: A reexamination of the evidence from the HighScope Perry Preschool Program (2010)
Working Paper: Analyzing Social Experiments as Implemented: A Reexamination of the Evidence from the HighScope Perry Preschool Program (2010)
Working Paper: Analyzing Social Experiments as Implemented: A Reexamination of the Evidence From the HighScope Perry Preschool Program (2010)
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