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Digitalization and Resilience to Disaggregate Shocks

Florentine Schwark and Andreas Tryphonides

University of Cyprus Working Papers in Economics from University of Cyprus Department of Economics

Abstract: How does digital technology affect the transmission of idiosyncratic shocks to the gross domestic product? We show that shock amplification depends on the elasticity of substitution and the relative abundance of inputs. Using an IV approach, we find a positive effect of digital intensity on substitution elasticities between capital and labor and between value-added and intermediate inputs, respectively. We interpret our empirical results through the lens of the technology choice literature, attributing the effect to a change in the curvature of the technology frontier. We show that whether a higher elasticity of substitution dampens the propagation of sectoral shocks or not depends on a simple sufficient statistic, the relative abundance of intermediate inputs. Based on the latter, our estimates suggest that many sectors in selected European economies amplify shocks after digitalization, with a deteriorating trend in resilience between 1995 and 2017.

Keywords: Digitalization; Productivity; Elasticity of substitution; Domar weights; Resilience; Production Networks (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E1 E23 E25 O33 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 48 pages
Date: 2022-10-11
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