Current Climate Variability and Future Climate Change: Estimated Growth and Poverty Impacts for Zambia

James Thurlow, Tingju Zhu () and Xinshen Diao

No wp-2011-085, WIDER Working Paper Series from World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER)

Abstract: Economy-wide and hydrological-crop models are combined to estimate and compare the economic impacts of current climate variability and future anthropogenic climate change in Zambia. Accounting for uncertainty, simulation results indicate that, on average, current variability reduces gross domestic product by four percent over a ten-year period and pulls over two percent of the population below the poverty line. Socio-economic impacts are much larger during major drought years, thus underscoring the importance of extreme weather events in determining climate damages.

Keywords: Climate change; Environment and economic development; Poverty (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2011
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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Journal Article: Current Climate Variability and Future Climate Change: Estimated Growth and Poverty Impacts for Zambia (2012)
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