WIDER Working Paper Series

From World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER)
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wp-2026-65: An energy New Keynesian DSGE model for South Africa

Abdul Cassiem and Guangling Liu

wp-2026-64: De-risking investment for sustainable development: The role of development banks and emerging donors

Amelia U. Santos-Paulino, Prachi Sharma and Claudia Trentini

wp-2026-63: How many people are employed in South Africa?

Andrew Kerr, Amy Thornton and Peris Wachira

wp-2026-62: Green structural transformation in South Africa

Nishal Robb, Glen Robbins, Julia Taylor and Imraan Valodia

wp-2026-61: Automation and inequality within firms: Evidence from the manufacturing sector in South Africa

Rafael de la Vega, Timothy Köhler, Antonio Martins-Neto and Siphelele Ngidi

wp-2026-60: What constrains the performance of enterprises in India's informal sector?

Rajesh Raj Natarajan and Kunal Sen

wp-2026-59: How the universal pension scheme shapes poverty outcomes in Zanzibar: Insights from the ZANMOD microsimulation model

Issa Hemed and Ramadhan M. Ramadhan

wp-2026-58: Does global financial transparency improve tax compliance in developing countries?

Niels Johannesen, Lauge Larsen and Nadine Riedel

wp-2026-57: Perceptions of the Russia-Ukraine war in Serbia and Bosnia and Herzegovina

Laia Balcells, Ana Paula Pellegrino and Matthew Simonson

wp-2026-56: Progress and persistence: race and intergenerational educational mobility in South Africa

Timothy Köhler and Morné Oosthuizen

wp-2026-55: Rules of origin and value added in preferential exports

Bernard Hoekman, Marcelo Olarreaga, Marco Sanfilippo and Rohit Ticku

wp-2026-54: From parents to children: tracking gendered mobility in Indian education

Rajdeep Chaudhuri, Abhiroop Mukhopadhyay and Kunal Sen

wp-2026-53: US yield curve shift and slope shocks: Domestic transmission and global spillovers

Abhishek Kumar

wp-2026-52: Clean energy technologies and the future of Indonesia's green structural transformation

Maxensius Tri Sambodo, Mesnan Silalahi and Felix Wisnu Handoyo

wp-2026-51: Heat, work, and the role of green space

Hiram Carreño Nájera, Nancy Lozano Gracia, Juan Pablo Rud and Pieter Serneels

wp-2026-50: Do place-based policies reshape land ownership patterns?: An empirical study on impact of SEZs in India

Rajarshi Chowdhury, Simontini Das, Saikat Sinha Roy and Kunal Sen

wp-2026-49: The role of taxation of artisanal mining in conflict-affected contexts: From armed predation to 'informal formalization'?

Steven Van Bockstael, Jeroen Cuvelier, Koen Vlassenroot and Josaphat Musamba

wp-2026-48: Catalyzing social mobility through student success

Nicola Branson and Emma Whitelaw

wp-2026-47: The VAT gap in South Africa: A bottom-up approach

Amina Ebrahim, Ada Jansen, Zoleka Jaxa, Winile Ngobeni and Wynnona Steyn

wp-2026-46: China green tech and its industrial policy

Alicia Garcia Herrero

wp-2026-45: Social protection in Bangladesh: Policies, practices and lessons

Selim Raihan and Fariha Khan

wp-2026-44: Green transformation in Brazil: Challenges, opportunities, and policy lessons

Jose A. Puppim de Oliveira, Laura S.M. Valente and Ana Paula Santos

wp-2026-43: Detecting profit shifting in administrative data: A South African perspective

Matthew Amalitinga Abagna, Ronald Davies and Miroslav Palanský

wp-2026-42: Climate shocks, labour market dynamics and inequality in South Africa: Evidence from administrative data tax

Sefa Awaworyi Churchill, Yohannes Kefale Mogess and Yuvana Jaichand

wp-2026-41: Forgiveness or loophole? evaluating the effect of Zambia's tax amnesty programme on compliance

Jonathan Msoni

wp-2026-40: Climate change and multidimensional poverty: Global, subnational and household-level evidence

David Castells-Quintana, Manisha Mukherjee and Nicolai Suppa

wp-2026-39: Financing green industrial transition under firm-level constraints: A comparative study of Brazil, India, Indonesia, and South Africa

Anthony Bartzokas

wp-2026-38: Electricity tariff and VAT reform in Ethiopia: Welfare, poverty, and cost-of-living spillovers

Adnan Shahir and Jesse Lastunen

wp-2026-37: Social protection in Viet Nam: An updated overview

Hai-Anh Dang and Minh N. N. Do

wp-2026-36: (Dis)Empowered by context: female entrepreneurs, institutions and firm performance

Hanna Berkel and Neda Trifković

wp-2026-35: The international trade dimensions of the United States critical minerals security strategy

Zainab Usman

wp-2026-34: Intergenerational education mobility trends in South Africa: Patterns by population group

Nicola Branson and Hagos Ressom

wp-2026-33: Multinational corporations and labour market competition in host countries: Evidence from South Africa

Talent Nesongano

wp-2026-32: Bureaucracies bending the rules: State capacity in the implementation of preferential procurement in South Africa

Ayanda Hlatshwayo, Carol Newman, John Rand and Bjørn Bo Sørensen

wp-2026-31: Building a social protection system under resource constraints: Mozambique's experience

Joana Borges Henriques and Sam Jones

wp-2026-30: Mapping mobility and opportunity: how place, gender, and ethnicity shape economic outcomes in Ecuador

Paolo Brunori, Diego del Pozo, H. Xavier Jara and Lorena Moreno

wp-2026-29: Stuck at the bottom: caste-based discrimination, relative poverty, and the mechanisms of intergenerational opportunity traps

Sudeshna Maitra and Sudarsana Kundu

wp-2026-28: Disaster-induced import dynamics: Evidence from South African floods

Marina Dodlova, Justyna Jantos, Krisztina Kis-Katos and Anna Kochanova

wp-2026-27: Social protection in Egypt

Ragui Assaad and Irene Selwaness

wp-2026-26: Inclusive growth in South Africa? Inequality dynamics and the role of trade openness vs tax policies

Olivier Bargain, Miracle Benhura, H. Xavier Jara and Prudence Magejo

wp-2026-25: The geography of intergenerational mobility in South Africa

Aarifah Razak

wp-2026-24: Monetary and fiscal implications of commodity price shocks for commodity-exporting small open economies

Ruthira Naraidoo

wp-2026-23: Social protection in Chile: Between growth and redistribution

Gabriela Zapata-Román and Armando Barrientos

wp-2026-22: Factor income taxation and the governance dividend

Tania Masi, Antonio Savoia and Kunal Sen

wp-2026-21: A market-based assessment of the outlook for inflation: Expectations and monetary policy in South Africa

Jens H. E. Christensen and Daan Steenkamp

wp-2026-20: A probabilistic measure to state fragility

Joan Margalef

wp-2026-19: Cash transfers and labour supply under structural unemployment

Timothy Köhler, Benjamin Stanwix and Haroon Bhorat

wp-2026-18: Food assistance and mobility during COVID-19 lockdowns

Monica Mogollon, Juan Mogollon and Catalina Villamil

wp-2026-17: Does government spending on education increase intergenerational education mobility?: The case of Free Compulsory Basic Education in Ghana

Nicola Branson and Emma Whitelaw

wp-2026-16: Firm structure, labour markets, and the green energy transition in low-income economies

Alan Finkelstein Shapiro and Olli-Pekka Kuusela

wp-2026-15: Legacy of apartheid: misallocation of labour and firm productivity

Talent Nesongano, Carol Newman, John Rand and Marvin Suesse

wp-2026-14: The long-run effects of conditional cash transfers: The case of Bolsa Família in Brazil

Luis Laguinge, Leonardo Gasparini and Guido Neidhöfer

wp-2026-13: Jihadist taxation and order-making in Mali and Niger

Yvan Guichaoua and Ferdaous Bouhlel

wp-2026-12: Beyond the state, but reinforcing it? Informal tax institutions and state legitimacy in the Democratic Republic of Congo

Vanessa van den Boogaard, Yannick Lokaya Bokasola, Gayatri Sahgal and Caleb Jérémie Dohou

wp-2026-11: Social protection in South Africa

Haroon Bhorat and Morne Oosthuizen

wp-2026-10: Intergenerational mobility through the lens of the elderly: New estimates from India and a comparison with existing measures

Rajdeep Chaudhuri, Abhiroop Mukhopadhyay and Kunal Sen

wp-2026-9: Social protection policy in Colombia

Marcela Meléndez, Nicolas Peña Tenjo and Laura Tenjo

wp-2026-8: Does implementing the Extractive Industries Transparency Initiative (EITI) increase resource revenue in developing countries?

Neerbewendé Abdoul Rachid Pafadnam

wp-2026-7: Power fragmentation and the resource curse

Rabah Arezki and Grégoire Rota-Graziosi

wp-2026-6: Gender and intergenerational mobility: Unequal economic outcomes between siblings

Martín Leites and Joan Vilá

wp-2026-5: Carrying the past with you across the border: Long-term effects of conflict and environmental stress exposure in Syria on the social well-being of refugees in Jordan

Francisca Castro, Tilman Brück, Hadi Jaafar and Wolfgang Stojetz

wp-2026-4: Climate policy as development policy: Leveraging carbon revenues for social protection in low- and middle-income countries

Katrin Gasior, Gemma Wright, H. Xavier Jara and Daniele Malerba

wp-2026-3: Social protection in South Korea: Transition from the developmental to the universal welfare state

Huck-ju Kwon and Eunju Kim

wp-2026-2: Between wars and words: how international conflict shapes discourse of non-belligerent political leaders

Ana Paula Pellegrino, Benjamin R. Burnley and Laia Balcells

wp-2026-1: Beyond GDP: the case of real-time barometer of economic activity in South Africa

Helanya Fourie and Johan Fourie

wp-2025-116: Tax expenditures and the tax side of the fiscal contract in Tanzania

Cyril Chimilila, Michael Marere and Oliver Morrissey

wp-2025-115: Violent conflict and taxation: Micro-level evidence from Burkina Faso

Mohammad H. Sepahvand, Sankar Placide Some, Annika Lindskog, Ann-Sofie Isaksson and Heather Congdon Fors

wp-2025-114: Silent citizens: political corruption and tax disclosure

Abhinav Khemka and Claudia Serra-Sala

wp-2025-113: A from-whom-to-whom approach to understand the financial structure of South Africa

Paul Hadji-Lazaro, Adri Wolhuter, Anna Maria Oosthuizen, Adel Bosch, Antoine Godin and Mlondi Ndovela

wp-2025-112: The panopticon taxman: the impact of e-invoicing on VAT compliance in Uganda

Adrienne Lees, Maria Jouste, Nicholas Musoke and Joseph Okello Ayo

wp-2025-111: Eradicating the disease of the empty granary: health, structural transformation, and intergenerational mobility in Ghana

Conor Carney and Jon Denton-Schneider

wp-2025-110: One and done or repeat inspections? The differential effect on multiple tax audits

David Henning, Christos Kotsogiannis, Jukka Pirttilä and Luca Salvadori

wp-2025-109: The Gates effect: private foundations and donor funding shifts in global health

Swetha Ramachandran

wp-2025-108: Tax expenditures and the fiscal contract in Zimbabwe

Christian von Haldenwang, Gibson Chigumira, Erinah Chipumho and Chifundo Mchowa

wp-2025-107: Armed group taxation and the processes of political ordering in northeast India

Shalaka Thakur

wp-2025-106: Macroeconomic effects of lowering South Africa's inflation target: An SVAR analysis

Richard Kima and Keagile Lesame

wp-2025-105: Taxation challenges and opportunities in war affected rural economies: The case of Ukraine

Viktor Yarovyi

wp-2025-104: How to promote circular economy transformation in the Global South?: A review of industrial policy options

Olli-Pekka Kuusela and Anupam Khajuria

wp-2025-103: Social protection for the poor: Evaluating Thailand's state welfare card programme

Wannaphong Durongkaveroj and Riswandi Riswandi

wp-2025-102: Demand for tariff change: causes and consequences for trade lobbying

Francesco Amodio, Fadzayi Chingwere, Jonas Hjort and Anton Reinicke

wp-2025-101: Design without delivery: analysing and rethinking social protection in Honduras

Andrés Ham

wp-2025-100: The fiscal impact of peace: Evidence from the PDET municipalities in Colombia

Mario L. Chacón

wp-2025-99: Social protection in Kenya: designing a proxy means testing tool to achieve universal health coverage

Pius Miri Ng'ang'a and David Khaoya

wp-2025-98: Why is social insurance coverage declining in Egypt?: A decomposition analysis

Ragui Assaad and Sarah Wahby

wp-2025-97: Cisterns for life: climate adaptation policies for water provision and rural lives

Yuri Barreto, Diogo G.C. Britto, Bladimir Carrillo, Daniel Da Mata, Lucas Emanuel and Breno Sampaio

wp-2025-96: Do CCTs create conditions to thrive? Bolsa Família and social mobility in Brazil

Diogo G.C. Britto, Alexandre Fonseca, Paolo Pinotti, Breno Sampaio and Lucas Warwar

wp-2025-95: How do childhood environments contribute to intergenerational economic mobility?: Evidence from 25 years of panel data in Egypt

Caroline Krafft, Ragui Assaad and Ruotong Li

wp-2025-94: Child labour and the persistence of inequality: Evidence from the world's least mobile country

Matias Ciaschi, Mario Negre and Guido Neidhöfer

wp-2025-93: Jobs and livelihoods programming for economic and social stability in fragile places: Evidence from Tunisia and Somalia

Tatiana Orozco Garcia and Neil T. N. Ferguson

wp-2025-92: Transitional justice and post-conflict state capacity

Monika Nalepa and Simone Paci

wp-2025-91: Tax burden, perceived fairness, and compliance in Ghana's tax system

Emmanuel Orkoh and Jörgen Levin

wp-2025-90: Taxation, political engagement, and public goods provision in Colombia's conflict-affected regions

Sebastián Pantoja-Barrios

wp-2025-89: When armed groups tax like a state: The development of tax systems by armed groups

Tanya Bandula-Irwin

wp-2025-88: Local support for military interventions in conflict: A survey experiment in Mali

Stefano Costalli, Irene Costantini and Valerio Vignoli

wp-2025-87: Destigmatizing disabilities?: Evidence from a disability-inclusive anti-poverty program in Uganda

Elijah Kipchumba

wp-2025-86: Criminal revenue, civic returns: how illicit taxation boosts electoral participation

Jessie Trudeau

wp-2025-85: Own- and cross-price elasticities of (cohabiting) married women's labour supply in South Africa

Amy Thornton

wp-2025-84: Can tax classes build compliance culture?: Evidence from randomized survey experiments in Cameroon

Guylaine Nouwoue, Marc Ateba, Miguel Fonseca and Jannesquin Royer

wp-2025-83: Social movements' impact on inequality beliefs, preferences for redistribution and political participation

Bruno Martorano, Laura Metzger, Patricia Justino and Francesco Iacoella

wp-2025-82: How to save lives during the first 1,000 days of life? Impact analysis of cash transfers on stunting: Evidence from Ecuador

Maria Delgado, Valeria Paz Jiménez and Wilson Guzmán Espinoza