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Informed Selection of Future Climates

Channing Arndt, Charles Fant, Sherman Robinson () and Kenneth Strzepek

No wp-2012-060, WIDER Working Paper Series from World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER)

Abstract: Analysis of climate change is often computationally burdensome. Here, we present an approach for intelligently selecting a sample of climates from a population of 6800 climates designed to represent the full distribution of likely climate outcomes out to 2050 for the Zambeze River Valley. Philosophically, our approach draws upon information theory. Technically, our approach draws upon the numerical integration literature and recent applications of Gaussian quadrature sampling. In our approach, future climates in the Zambeze River Valley are summarized in 12 variables.

Keywords: Climatic changes; Global warming; Information theory in finance; Sampling (Statistics) (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2012
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Journal Article: Informed selection of future climates (2015) Downloads
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