An Uncertainty Approach to Modelling Climate Change Risk in South Africa

James Cullis, Theresa Alton, Channing Arndt, Anton Cartwright, Alice Chang, Sherwin Gabriel (), Yohannes Gebretsadik, Faaiqa Hartley, Gerald de Jager, Konstantin Makrelov, Gordon Robertson, Adam Schlosser, Kenneth Strzepek and James Thurlow

No wp-2015-045, WIDER Working Paper Series from World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER)

Abstract: This study represents the first attempt at an integrated approach to assessing the potential impacts of climate change on the national economy of South Africa via a number of (but not necessarily all) impact channels. The study focuses on outcomes by about 2050. The results show the multiple impacts of climate change and the importance of spatial and temporal variation in these impacts. The study focused in particular on the potential impacts of climate change on the water supply sector, dry-land agriculture, hydropower, roads infrastructure costs and sea level rise.

Keywords: Economic development; Economic growth; Uncertainty; Climate change (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2015
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (4)

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