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Campaign externalities, programmatic spending, and voting preferences in rural Mexico: The case of Progresa-Oportunidades-Prospera programme

Dragan Filipovich, Miguel Niño-Zarazúa () and Alma Santillán Hernández

No wp-2018-27, WIDER Working Paper Series from World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER)

Abstract: This study presents an analysis of the electoral impacts of one of the most prominent conditional cash transfers in the world: Mexico's Progresa-Oportunidades-Prospera (POP) programme. Using population censuses, and POP's administrative records and elections data, we exploit the targeting criteria of the programme and its gradual expansion to implement difference-in-differences estimators and a regression discontinuity design for past presidential elections (2000, 2006, and 2012).

Keywords: Conditional cash transfers; Information externalities; Mexico; Rural poverty; Voting; Behaviour (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2018
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