Raindrop in the drought? Vulnerability to climate shocks and the role of social protection in Zambia

Katrin Gasior, Pia Rattenhuber, Adnan Shahir and Anna Zasova

No wp-2024-88, WIDER Working Paper Series from World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER)

Abstract: Zambia's reliance on rain-fed agriculture makes its economy and population highly vulnerable to frequent droughts and irregular rainfall. This paper assesses the role of social protection, specifically the Social Cash Transfer (SCT) program, in mitigating drought-induced poverty and consumption declines. Using the MicroZAMOD microsimulation model and district-level rainfall data, we find that rainfall shocks significantly increase poverty and reduce household consumption, disproportionately affecting the poorest households.

Keywords: Zambia; Tax-benefit microsimulation; Social protection; Climate change (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
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