How reliable are national accounts estimates of agricultural output?

Sam Jones and Marcelo Mucocana

No wp-2025-7, WIDER Working Paper Series from World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER)

Abstract: Measurement errors in macroeconomic aggregates such as GDP have been widely lamented, particularly in low-income contexts. This study investigates the reliability of one component of national accounts, agricultural sector output. Focusing first on the case of Mozambique, we use a series of 12 harmonized national agricultural micro-surveys to construct estimates of gross annual output in the sector. Compared to corresponding national accounts values for the period 2002-20, the micro-survey estimates are about 50% lower.

Keywords: Measurement error; GDP; National accounts; Agriculture; Survey data; Mozambique; Survey (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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