Social protection in times of conflict: Evidence from Ethiopia

Rute Martins Caeiro, Rachel Sabates-Wheeler and Patricia Justino

No wp-2025-9, WIDER Working Paper Series from World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER)

Abstract: This paper examines the role of social protection in mitigating the adverse effects of conflict on household welfare. We assess the impact of a graduation intervention linked to Ethiopia's Productive Safety Net Programme, focusing on Amhara, a region severely affected by the Tigray conflict. Using data from a large randomized controlled trial and panel surveys conducted before and after the conflict, we evaluate the effectiveness of social protection in conflict settings. Our estimation strategy leverages variation in conflict exposure combined with exogenous programme participation.

Keywords: Conflict; Social protection; social safety nets; Poverty; Ethiopia (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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