Agricultural commodity booms, emissions, and climate migration policies

Daniel Da Mata and Mario Dotta

No wp-2026-112, WIDER Working Paper Series from World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER)

Abstract: This paper examines how production responses to agricultural commodity booms affect greenhouse gas emissions and the take-up of climate mitigation policies. Using a shift-share approach, we find that Brazilian localities more exposed to booms exhibit increased emissions due to agricultural expansion and land allocation. While booms also lead to emissions-reducing responses like higher output per area, the net effect is an increase in emissions.

Keywords: Environment; Emissions; Climate change mitigation; Commodities (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2026
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