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Aggregation of experts’ opinions and conditional consensus opinion

Marcello Basili ()

Department of Economics University of Siena from Department of Economics, University of Siena

Abstract: This paper considers aggregation of experts opinions expressed through not necessarily independent but even conflicting probability distributions or multiple priors.The paper addresses elicitation of common opinion and derives its conditional probabilities on future events.

JEL-codes: D71 D83 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-mic
Date: 2018-05
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http://repec.deps.unisi.it/quaderni/780.pdf (application/pdf)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:usi:wpaper:780

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