Details about Marcello Basili

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Short-id: pba672

Working Papers

2023

1. A representation of Keynes's long-term expectation in financial markets
   Working Papers, HAL

2021

2. Aggregation of Experts Opinions and the Assessment of Tipping Points. Catastrophic Forecasts for Higher Temperature Changes
   Department of Economics University of Siena, Department of Economics, University of Siena
3. Strategy-Proof Aggregation of Approximate and Imprecise Judgments
   Department of Economics University of Siena, Department of Economics, University of Siena

2020

4. Aggregation of experts' opinions and conditional consensus opinion by the Steiner point
   PSE-Ecole d'économie de Paris (Postprint), HAL View citations (5)
   Also in Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers), HAL (2020) View citations (6)
   Post-Print, HAL (2020) View citations (5)
5. The Covid-19/SARS CoV-2 pandemic outbreak and the risk of institutional failures
   Department of Economics University of Siena, Department of Economics, University of Siena
6. The Covid-19/SARS-CoV-2 pandemic outbreak, the risk of institutional failures and a coherent health policy
   Department of Economics University of Siena, Department of Economics, University of Siena

2019

7. A consistent representation of Keynes’s long-term expectation in ?nancial market
   Department of Economics University of Siena, Department of Economics, University of Siena

2018

8. Aggregation of experts’ opinions and conditional consensus opinion
   Department of Economics University of Siena, Department of Economics, University of Siena
9. Ellsberg’s Decision Rules and Keynes’s Long-Term Expectations
   Department of Economics University of Siena, Department of Economics, University of Siena
10. Italian “Homicide Road Law”: Evidence of a Puzzle?
    Department of Economics University of Siena, Department of Economics, University of Siena
11. Platform-mediated reputation systems in the sharing economy and incentives to provide service quality: the case of ridesharing services
    Department of Economics University of Siena, Department of Economics, University of Siena View citations (1)

2017

12. Multidimensional Pigou–Dalton transfers and social evaluation functions
    Post-Print, HAL
    Also in Post-Print, HAL (2016) View citations (1)
    Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers), HAL (2017)
    PSE-Ecole d'économie de Paris (Postprint), HAL (2017)
    Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne (2016)
    Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers), HAL (2016)
    See also Journal Article Multidimensional Pigou–Dalton transfers and social evaluation functions, Theory and Decision, Springer (2017) (2017)

2014

13. Aggregation of coherent experts opinion: a tractable extreme-outcomes consistent rule
    Working Papers, Department of Research, Ipag Business School View citations (10)
    Also in Department of Economics University of Siena, Department of Economics, University of Siena (2013) View citations (7)

2013

14. Aggregation of not necessarily independent opinions
    Department of Economics University of Siena, Department of Economics, University of Siena View citations (1)
15. Ellsberg Rules and Keynes’s State of Long-Term Expectation: More Than an Accordance
    Department of Economics University of Siena, Department of Economics, University of Siena

2012

16. How to Measure the Economic Impact of Vector-Borne Diseases at a Country Level: An Assessment
    Department of Economics University of Siena, Department of Economics, University of Siena
17. Swine influenza and vaccines: an alternative approach for decision making about pandemic prevention
    Department of Economics University of Siena, Department of Economics, University of Siena
18. Warning, Learning and Compliance: Evidence from Micro-data on Driving Behavior
    Department of Economics University of Siena, Department of Economics, University of Siena View citations (1)

2011

19. Extreme events and entropy: A multiple quantile utility model
    PSE-Ecole d'économie de Paris (Postprint), HAL View citations (12)
    Also in Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers), HAL (2011) View citations (13)
    Post-Print, HAL (2011) View citations (12)

2009

20. Biofuel from Jatrofa Curcas: environmental sustainability and option value
    Department of Economic Policy, Finance and Development (DEPFID) University of Siena, Department of Economic Policy, Finance and Development (DEPFID), University of Siena View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article Biofuel from Jatropha curcas: Environmental sustainability and option value, Ecological Economics, Elsevier (2012) View citations (14) (2012)
21. Marginal Deterrence, Escalating Penalties and Enforcement Inconsistency
    Department of Economic Policy, Finance and Development (DEPFID) University of Siena, Department of Economic Policy, Finance and Development (DEPFID), University of Siena

2008

22. Ambiguous Money Distribution And The Price Stickiness Phenomenon: A Rationale From An Ambiguous Rational Expectations Approach
    Department of Economic Policy, Finance and Development (DEPFID) University of Siena, Department of Economic Policy, Finance and Development (DEPFID), University of Siena
23. Contracts and Motivations. The Case of Open Source
    Department of Economics University of Siena, Department of Economics, University of Siena
24. Precautionary principle as a rule of choice with optimism on windfall gains and pessimism on catatrophic losses
    Post-Print, HAL View citations (2)
    Also in Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers), HAL (2008) View citations (7)
    See also Journal Article Precautionary principle as a rule of choice with optimism on windfall gains and pessimism on catastrophic losses, Ecological Economics, Elsevier (2008) View citations (13) (2008)
25. The global strategy to cope with H5N1: the property rights caveat
    Department of Economic Policy, Finance and Development (DEPFID) University of Siena, Department of Economic Policy, Finance and Development (DEPFID), University of Siena

2007

26. Cooperation, reciprocity and self-esteem: A theoretical approach
    Department of Economic Policy, Finance and Development (DEPFID) University of Siena, Department of Economic Policy, Finance and Development (DEPFID), University of Siena View citations (1)
    See also Chapter Cooperation, Reciprocity and Self-esteem: A Theoretical Approach, Chapters, Edward Elgar Publishing (2009) (2009)
27. Diversity as Width
    Department of Economics University of Siena, Department of Economics, University of Siena View citations (3)
    See also Journal Article Diversity as width, Social Choice and Welfare, Springer (2013) View citations (1) (2013)
28. The weight of argument and non-additive measures: a note
    Department of Economic Policy, Finance and Development (DEPFID) University of Siena, Department of Economic Policy, Finance and Development (DEPFID), University of Siena View citations (2)

2005

29. Ambiguity and uncertainty in Ellsberg and Shackle
    Department of Economics University of Siena, Department of Economics, University of Siena
    See also Journal Article Ambiguity and uncertainty in Ellsberg and Shackle, Cambridge Journal of Economics, Cambridge Political Economy Society (2010) View citations (11) (2010)
30. Choices under ambiguity with familiar and unfamilar outcomes
    Post-Print, HAL View citations (1)
    Also in Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers), HAL (2005) View citations (4)
    Cahiers de la Maison des Sciences Economiques, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1) (2004) View citations (2)
    See also Journal Article Choices Under Ambiguity With Familiar And Unfamiliar Outcomes, Theory and Decision, Springer (2005) View citations (8) (2005)
31. Cooperation and Reciprocity: a Theoretical Approach
    Working Papers in Public Economics, Department of Economics and Law, Sapienza University of Roma
32. Cost Efficiency and Returns to Scope in Italian Investment Firms
    Department of Economics University of Siena, Department of Economics, University of Siena
33. Deterrence and Compliance in a Demerit Point System
    Department of Economics University of Siena, Department of Economics, University of Siena View citations (2)
34. Production of a New Drug: A Sequential Investment ProcessUnder Uncertainty
    Department of Economics University of Siena, Department of Economics, University of Siena
35. Shackle versus Savage: non-probabilistic alternatives to subjective probability theory in the 1950s
    Department of Economics University of Siena, Department of Economics, University of Siena View citations (1)
36. The Avian Flu Disease: A Case of Precautionary Failure
    Department of Economics University of Siena, Department of Economics, University of Siena

2004

37. Ambiguity and macroeconomics:a rationale for price stickiness
    Department of Economics University of Siena, Department of Economics, University of Siena

2002

38. Subjective ambiguity and moral hazard in a principal-agent model
    Working Papers in Public Economics, Department of Economics and Law, Sapienza University of Roma

Journal Articles

2023

1. A REPRESENTATION OF KEYNES’S LONG-TERM EXPECTATION IN FINANCIAL MARKETS
   International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), 2023, 26, (06n07), 1-20

2021

2. Financial markets and Keynes’s long-term expectations
   Cambridge Journal of Economics, 2021, 45, (5), 1047-1067 View citations (1)
3. The deterrent effect of “Vehicular Homicide Laws”: Microeconometric evidence from Italy
   Research in Transportation Economics, 2021, 90, (C) View citations (1)

2019

4. The CoVid-19 pandemic outbreak: The precautionary principle and institutional failures
   Mercato Concorrenza Regole, 2019, (3), 475-483 View citations (1)

2017

5. Multidimensional Pigou–Dalton transfers and social evaluation functions
   Theory and Decision, 2017, 83, (4), 573-590
   See also Working Paper Multidimensional Pigou–Dalton transfers and social evaluation functions, Post-Print (2017) (2017)

2015

6. Group attitude and hybrid sanctions: Micro-econometric evidence from traffic law
   Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, 2015, 78, (C), 325-336 View citations (2)
7. HOW TO MEASURE THE ECONOMIC IMPACT OF VECTOR-BORNE DISEASES AT COUNTRY LEVEL
   Journal of Economic Surveys, 2015, 29, (5), 896-916

2013

8. Diversity as width
   Social Choice and Welfare, 2013, 40, (3), 913-936 View citations (1)
   See also Working Paper Diversity as Width, Department of Economics University of Siena (2007) View citations (3) (2007)

2012

9. Biofuel from Jatropha curcas: Environmental sustainability and option value
   Ecological Economics, 2012, 78, (C), 1-8 View citations (14)
   See also Working Paper Biofuel from Jatrofa Curcas: environmental sustainability and option value, Department of Economic Policy, Finance and Development (DEPFID) University of Siena (2009) View citations (1) (2009)

2010

10. Ambiguity and uncertainty in Ellsberg and Shackle
    Cambridge Journal of Economics, 2010, 34, (3), 449-474 View citations (11)
    See also Working Paper Ambiguity and uncertainty in Ellsberg and Shackle, Department of Economics University of Siena (2005) (2005)

2009

11. Keynes's "non-numerical" probabilities and non-additive measures
    Journal of Economic Psychology, 2009, 30, (3), 419-430 View citations (7)
12. SHACKLE AND MODERN DECISION THEORY
    Metroeconomica, 2009, 60, (2), 245-282 View citations (8)

2008

13. Precautionary principle as a rule of choice with optimism on windfall gains and pessimism on catastrophic losses
    Ecological Economics, 2008, 67, (3), 485-491 View citations (13)
    See also Working Paper Precautionary principle as a rule of choice with optimism on windfall gains and pessimism on catatrophic losses, Post-Print (2008) View citations (2) (2008)

2007

14. CONSTITUTIONAL CONSTRAINTS UNDER AMBIGUITY: A GAME-THEORETIC APPROACH
    International Game Theory Review (IGTR), 2007, 09, (01), 59-66

2006

15. A Rational Decision Rule with Extreme Events
    Risk Analysis, 2006, 26, (6), 1721-1728 View citations (11)
16. Understanding the Risk of an Avian Flu Pandemic: Rational Waiting or Precautionary Failure?
    Risk Analysis, 2006, 26, (3), 617-630 View citations (5)

2005

17. Choices Under Ambiguity With Familiar And Unfamiliar Outcomes
    Theory and Decision, 2005, 58, (2), 195-207 View citations (8)
    See also Working Paper Choices under ambiguity with familiar and unfamilar outcomes, Post-Print (2005) View citations (1) (2005)
18. Quasi-option value under ambiguity
    Economics Bulletin, 2005, 4, (3), 1-10

2004

19. Networks, Trust and Institutional Complementarities
    Rivista di Politica Economica, 2004, 94, (1), 159-180 View citations (4)

2002

20. AMBIGUITY AND PORTFOLIO INERTIA
    International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), 2002, 05, (08), 785-795 View citations (2)

2001

21. Knightian Uncertainty in Financial Markets: An Assessment
    Economic Notes, 2001, 30, (1), 1-26 View citations (3)

1998

22. Quasi-option value and hard uncertainty
    Environment and Development Economics, 1998, 3, (4), 417-423 View citations (3)

Chapters

2009

1. Cooperation, Reciprocity and Self-esteem: A Theoretical Approach
   Chapter 11 in The Economics of Ethics and the Ethics of Economics, 2009
   See also Working Paper Cooperation, reciprocity and self-esteem: A theoretical approach, Department of Economic Policy, Finance and Development (DEPFID), University of Siena (2007) View citations (1) (2007)