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Cycles inside cycles: Spanish regional aggregation

Ana Gómez-Loscos (), M. Dolores Gadea and Antonio Montañes

ERSA conference papers from European Regional Science Association

Abstract: This paper sets out a comprehensive framework to identify regional business cycles within Spain and analyses their stylised features and the degree of synchronization present among them and the Spanish economy. We show that the regional cycles are quite heterogeneous although they display some degree of synchronization that can be partially explained using macroeconomic variables. We also propose a dynamic factor model to cluster the regional comovements and find out if the country cycle is simply the aggregation of the regional ones. We find that the Spanish business cycle is not shared by the seventeen regions, but is the sum of the different regional behaviours. The implications derived from our results are useful both for policy makers and analysts.

Date: 2011-09
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cba, nep-geo, nep-mac and nep-ure
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http://www-sre.wu.ac.at/ersa/ersaconfs/ersa11/e110830aFinal00098.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
Journal Article: Cycles inside cycles: Spanish regional aggregation (2012) Downloads
Working Paper: Cycles Inside Cycles. Spanish Regional Aggregation (2011) Downloads
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