On the Dynamics of Trade Patterns
Andrea Brasili,
Paolo Epifani (paolo.epifani@nottingham.edu.cn) and
Rodolfo Helg
Additional contact information
Andrea Brasili: Banca Intesa
International Trade from University Library of Munich, Germany
Abstract:
In this paper we analyse the dynamics of trade patterns in the six largest industrialised countries and in eight fast growing Asian economies. For each of these countries we study the shape of the sectoral distribution of an index of trade specialisation and its evolution over time. Our analysis shows a marked difference between the advanced and the emerging countries as far as the degree of persistence is concerned: the former have in fact a highly persistent trade pattern, whereas the latter show a rapidly changing trade specialisation. However, the two groups of countries are more similar as far as the evolution of the degree of specialisation is concerned: although emerging countries are still more specialised than the industrialised countries, both groups show a tendency toward a reduced polarisation and a more symmetric distribution of the specialisation index. This evidence is in line with the traditional trade theory, in which changing comparative advantage is the determinant of a changing trade pattern. On the contrary, this evidence does not support the idea that self- reinforcing mechanisms are prominent in international trade specialisation.
Keywords: trade patterns; trade specialisation; comparative advantages; stochastic kernels (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F10 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 33 pages
Date: 2000-08-27
Note: Type of Document - Acrobat PDF; prepared on IBM PC ; to print on HP/PostScript/Franciscan monk; pages: 33 ; figures: included
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (49)
Downloads: (external link)
https://econwpa.ub.uni-muenchen.de/econ-wp/it/papers/0004/0004006.pdf (application/pdf)
Related works:
Working Paper: On the Dynamics of Trade Patterns (2000)
Working Paper: On the dynamics of trade patterns (1999)
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.
Export reference: BibTeX
RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan)
HTML/Text
Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:wpa:wuwpit:0004006
Access Statistics for this paper
More papers in International Trade from University Library of Munich, Germany
Bibliographic data for series maintained by EconWPA (volker.schallehn@ub.uni-muenchen.de).