Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies

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2007,15: On-the-job search and the cyclical dynamics of the labor market

Michael Krause and Thomas Lubik

2007,14: Does anticipation of government spending matter? Evidence from an expectation augmented VAR

Jörn Tenhofen and Guntram Wolff

2007,13: An affine macro-finance term structure model for the euro area

Wolfgang Lemke

2007,12: Money and housing: evidence for the euro area and the US

Claus Greiber and Ralph Setzer

2007,11: Exchange rate dynamics in a target zone: a heterogeneous expectations approach

Christian Bauer, Paul De Grauwe and Stefan Reitz

2007,10: A note on the coefficient of determination in regression models with infinite-variance variables

Mico Loretan and Jeong-Ryeol Kurz-Kim

2007,09: Reconsidering the role of monetary indicators for euro area inflation from a Bayesian perspective using group inclusion probabilities

Michael Scharnagl and Christian Schumacher

2007,08: An assessment of the trends in international price competitiveness among EMU countries

Christoph Fischer

2007,07: Moral hazard and bail-out in fiscal federations: evidence for the German Länder

Kirsten H. Heppke-Falk and Guntram Wolff

2007,06: Money-based interest rate rules: lessons from German data

Christina Gerberding, Franz Seitz and Andreas Worms

2007,05: End-user order flow and exchange rate dynamics

Mark Taylor, Markus Schmidt and Stefan Reitz

2007,04: Unemployment and employment protection in a unionized economy with search frictions

Nikolai Stähler

2007,03: Price setting in the euro area: some stylised facts from individual producer price data

Philip Vermeulen, Erwan Gautier, Harald Stahl, Maarten Dossche, Roberto Sabbatini, Daniel Dias and Ignacio Hernando

2007,02: Threshold dynmamics of short-term interest rates: empirical evidence and implications for the term structure

Theofanis Archontakis and Wolfgang Lemke

2007,01: The effect of FDI on job separation

Marc-Andreas Muendler and Sascha Becker

2006,48: Industries and the bank lending effects of bank credit demand and monetary policy in Germany

Ivo Arnold, Clemens Kool and Katharina Raabe

2006,47: A new mixed multiplicative-additive model for seasonal adjusment

Stephanus Arz

2006,46: Price adjustment in German manufacturing: evidence from two merged survey

Harald Stahl

2006,45: The role of technology in M&As: a firm-level comparison of cross-border and domestic deals

Rainer Frey and Katrin Hussinger

2006,44: Precautionary saving and income uncertainty in Germany - new evidence from microdata

Nikolaus Bartzsch

2006,43: Regionalwährungen in Deutschland: Lokale Konkurrenz für den Euro?

Gerhard Rösl

2006,42: How good are dynamic factor models at forecasting output and inflation? A meta-analytic approach

Christina Ziegler and Sandra Eickmeier

2006,41: The macroeconomic effects of exogenous fiscal policy shocks in Germany: a disaggregated SVAR analysis

Guntram Wolff, Jörn Tenhofen and Kirsten H. Heppke-Falk

2006,40: Does trade openness increase firm-level volatility?

Harald Strotmann, Jörg Döpke and Claudia Buch

2006,39: How strong is the impact of exports and other demand components on German import demand? Evidence from euro-area and non-euro-area imports

Claudia Stirböck

2006,38: How to treat benchmark revisions? The case of German production and orders statistics

Thomas Knetsch and Hans-Eggert Reimers

2006,37: Has the export pricing behaviour of German enterprises changed? Empirical evidence from German sectoral prices

Kerstin Stahn

2006,36: Political risk and export promotion: evidence from Germany

Christoph Moser, Thorsten Nestmann and Michael Wedow

2006,35: Fiscal institutions, fiscal policy and sovereign risk premia

Mark Hallerberg and Guntram Wolff

2006,34: Macroeconomic fluctuations and bank lending: evidence for Germany and the euro area

Sandra Eickmeier, Boris Hofmann and Andreas Worms

2006,33: Real-time forecasting of GDP based on a large factor model with monthly and quarterly data

Christian Schumacher and Jörg Breitung

2006,32: Forecasting using a large number of predictors: is Bayesian regression a valid alternative to principal components?

Christine De Mol, Domenico Giannone and Lucrezia Reichlin

2006,31: Comovements and heterogeneity in the Comovements and heterogeneity in the dynamic factor model

Sandra Eickmeier

2006,30: Dependence on external finance: an inherent industry characteristic?

Ulf von Kalckreuth and George von Furstenberg

2006,29: The within-distribution business cycle dynamics of German firms

Sebastian Weber and Jörg Döpke

2006,28: Empirical Bayesian density forecasting in Iowa and shrinkage for the Monte Carlo era

Kurt Lewis and Charles Whiteman

2006,27: Learning, structural instability and present value calculations

Mohammad Pesaran, Davide Pettenuzzo and Allan Timmermann

2006,26: Do actions speak louder than words? Household expectations of inflation based on micro consumption data

Atsushi Inoue, Lutz Kilian and Fatma Burcu Kiraz

2006,25: Forecasting with panel data

Badi Baltagi

2006,24: Margins of multinational labor substitution

Marc-Andreas Mündler and Sascha Becker

2006,23: A reappraisal of the evidence on PPP: a systematic investigation into MA roots in panel unit root tests and their implications

Christoph Fischer and Daniel Porath

2006,22: Real-time forecasting and political stock market anomalies: evidence for the U.S

Martin T. Bohl, Jörg Döpke and Christian Pierdzioch

2006,21: Monetary and fiscal policy interactions in a New Keynesian model with capital accumulation and non-Ricardian consumers

Campbell Leith and Leopold von Thadden

2006,20: How would formula apportionment in the EU affect the distribution and the size of the corporate tax base? An analysis based on German multinationals

Clemens Fuest, Thomas Hemmelgarn and Fred Ramb

2006,19: Fool the markets? Creative accounting, fiscal transparency and sovereign risk premia

Kerstin Bernoth and Guntram Wolff

2006,18: Do monetary indicators (still) predict euro area inflation?

Boris Hofmann

2006,17: Identifying the role of labor markets for monetary policy in an estimated DSGE model

Kai Christoffel, Keith Küster and Tobias Linzert

2006,16: Consumer price adjustment under the microscope: Germany in a period of low inflation

Johannes Hoffmann and Jeong-Ryeol Kurz-Kim

2006,15: Internalization and internationalization under copeting real options

Jan Hendrik Fisch

2006,14: Inflation and relative price variability in the euro area: evidence from a panel threshold model

Juliane Scharff and Dieter Nautz