Are three points for a win really better than two? Theoretical and empirical evidence for German soccer

Alexander Dilger () and Hannah Geyer

No 4/08, IÖB-Diskussionspapiere from University of Münster, Institute for Economic Education

Abstract: The effects of the three-point rule in first league German soccer are tested empirically and compared to games from the German cup-competition. The inclusion of cup games ensures that changes in league games can be attributed to the three-point rule. As a result of their relative devaluation, the number of draws should decrease. Furthermore, an increase in the number of close wins is expected. The strategy of a leading team becomes more defensive, resulting in fewer goal shootings by that team, as well as fewer shooting opportunities for the opponent. Empirical evidence supporting these effects is found.

JEL-codes: C72 C93 L83 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2008
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:zbw:ioebdp:408

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