Empirical macromodels under test: a comparative simulation study of the employment effects of a revenue neutral cut in social security contributions
Herbert S. Buscher,
Hermann Buslei,
Klaus Göggelmann,
Henrike Koschel,
Fred Ramb,
Tobias F. N. Schmidt,
Viktor Steiner and
Peter Winker
No 98-40, ZEW Discussion Papers from ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research
Abstract:
In the paper we simulate a revenue-neutral cut in the social security contribution rate using five different types of macro- / microeconomic models, namely two models based on time-series data where the labour market is modelled basically demand oriented, two models of the class of computable equilibrium models which are supply oriented and finally a firm specific model for international tax burden comparisons. Our primary interest is in the employment effects the models predict due to the cut in the contribution rate. It turns out that qualitatively all models considered predict an increase in employment three years after the cut. But the employment effects differ considerably in magnitude, which follows immediately from the different behavioral assumptions underlying the different models.
JEL-codes: C50 C53 E17 H55 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 1998
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Journal Article: Empirical macro models under test. A comparative simulation study of the employment effects of a revenue neutral cut in social security contributions (2001) 
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:zbw:zewdip:5211
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