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The unification bonus (malus) in postwall Eastern Germany

Miriam Beblo, Irwin Collier and Thomas Knaus

No 01-29, ZEW Discussion Papers from ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research

Abstract: This paper presents estimates of the unification bonus for East Germans over the period 1991 to 1998. The unification bonus is defined as the discounted value of the difference between a person?s actual income and his or her counterfactual real income stream forecast for a hypothetical continuation of economic life in a static GDR. The two main issues tackled in this study are the construction of valid deflators for a comparison of real incomes during the transition from a centralized to a market economy and the estimation of plausible counterfactual income streams. Our central result is that 19 percent of East Germans received a present value malus and so can be regarded as unification losers but that the aggregate bonus is ten times the size of the aggregate malus of the sample.

Keywords: Real income comparison; income distribution and mobility; economies in transition (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D1 D3 P2 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2001
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (4)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:zbw:zewdip:5384

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