Details about James Bullard

E-mail:
Homepage:	http://www.stls.frb.org/research/econ/bullard/
Phone:	(314) 444-8576
Postal address:	Research Department, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, P.O. Box 442, St. Louis, MO 63166 USA
Workplace:	Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, (more information at EDIRC) Economic Research, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, (more information at EDIRC)

Access statistics for papers by James Bullard.

Last updated 2009-10-16. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: pbu13

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Working Papers

2009

1. A Model of Near-Rational Exuberance
   CDMA Working Paper Series, Centre for Dynamic Macroeconomic Analysis
   Also in Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (2007) View citations
2. Learning and the Great Moderation
   Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis View citations
3. When does determinacy imply expectational stability?
   Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

2008

4. The stability of macroeconomic systems with Bayesian learners
   Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

2007

5. Monetary policy, judgment and near-rational exuberance
   Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis View citations
   See also Journal Article in American Economic Review (2008)
6. Social learning and monetary policy rules
   Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis View citations
7. The optimal inflation target in an economy with limited enforcement
   Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
8. Worldwide macroeconomic stability and monetary policy rules
   Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis View citations
   See also Journal Article in Journal of Monetary Economics (2008)

2006

9. A leisurely reading of the life-cycle consumption data
   Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis View citations
   See also Journal Article in Journal of Monetary Economics (2007)
10. Monetary policy, determinacy, and learnability in a two-block world economy
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis View citations
11. Monetary policy, determinacy, and learnability in the open economy
    Working Paper Series, European Central Bank View citations
    Also in Computing in Economics and Finance 2005, Society for Computational Economics (2005) View citations
    Discussion Paper, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research (2005)
12. Near-Rational Exuberance
    University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department
    Also in Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge (2005) View citations
    Working Paper Series, European Central Bank (2005) View citations
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (2004)
    2004 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics (2004)

2004

13. Determinacy, Learnability, and Monetary Policy Inertia
    Royal Holloway, University of London: Discussion Papers in Economics, Department of Economics, Royal Holloway University of London
    Also in Discussion Papers, Department of Economics, University of York View citations
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (2003) View citations
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Money, Credit and Banking (2007)
14. Did the Great Inflation occur despite policymaker commitment to a Taylor rule?
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis View citations
    Also in Computing in Economics and Finance 2003, Society for Computational Economics (2003) View citations
    Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta (2003) View citations
    See also Journal Article in Review of Economic Dynamics (2005)
15. Learning and structural change in macroeconomic data
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis View citations

2003

16. Escapist Policy Rules
    CFS Working Paper Series, Center for Financial Studies View citations
    Also in Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (2003) View citations
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control (2005)

2002

17. Central bank design in general equilibrium
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis View citations
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Money, Credit and Banking (2004)
18. Intermediaries and payments instruments
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Economic Theory (2003)
19. Learning about monetary policy rules
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis View citations
    Also in Discussion Papers, Department of Economics, University of York View citations
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Monetary Economics (2002)

2001

20. New economy: new policy rules?
    Computing in Economics and Finance 2001, Society for Computational Economics View citations
    Also in Discussion Paper, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research (2000) View citations
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (2000)
    See also Journal Article in Review (2001)
21. The value of inside and outside money
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis View citations
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Monetary Economics (2003)
22. The value of inside and outside money: expanded version
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
23. Trend-reverting fluctuations in the life-cycle model
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis View citations
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Economic Theory (2004)

2000

24. Private and public circulating liabilities
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis View citations
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Economic Theory (2001)

1999

25. Learning and Excess Volatility
    Computing in Economics and Finance 1999, Society for Computational Economics View citations
    Also in Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (1998) View citations
    See also Journal Article in Macroeconomic Dynamics (2001)

1998

26. Complex eigenvalues and trend-reverting fluctuations
    Staff Report, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis View citations
27. How costly is sustained low inflation for the U.S. economy?
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis View citations
    See also Journal Article in Review (2004)
28. Monetary steady states in a low real interest rate economy
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis View citations

1995

29. Learning in a model of economic growth and development
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
30. On learning and the stability of cycles
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis View citations

1994

31. A model of learning and emulation with artificial adaptive agents
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis View citations
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control (1998)
32. Superneutrality in postwar economies
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
33. U.S. official forecasts of Group of Seven economic performance, 1976-90
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
34. Using genetic algorithms to model the evolution of heterogeneous beliefs
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis View citations
    See also Journal Article in Computational Economics (1999)

1993

35. Learning in a large square economy
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

1992

36. Nonlinearity and chaos in economic models: implications for policy decisions
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis View citations
    See also Journal Article in Economic Journal (1993)

1991

37. Collapsing exchange rate regimes: a reinterpretation
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
38. Learning equilibria
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis View citations
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Economic Theory (1994)

Journal Articles

2009

1. A Two-Headed Dragon for Monetary Policy
   Business Economics, 2009, 44, (2), 73-79
2. As in the past, reform will follow crisis
   The Regional Economist, 2009, (Jul), 3
3. Fed's bold actions harken back to Volcker era
   The Regional Economist, 2009, (Apr), 3
4. Is the rate of homeownership nearing a bottom?
   The Regional Economist, 2009, (Oct), 3
5. Panel discussion
   Review, 2009, (Jul), 383-395
6. President's welcome
   Review, 2009, (Jul), 179-180
7. Systemic risk and the financial crisis: a primer
   Review, 2009, (Sep), 403-418
8. The Fed as lender of last resort
   The Regional Economist, 2009, (Jan), 3
9. Three funerals and a wedding
   Review, 2009, (Jan), 1-12 View citations
   Also in Speech, 2008 (2008)

2008

10. A perspective on the U.S. economy
    Speech, 2008, (Jun 4)
11. Monetary Policy, Judgment, and Near-Rational Exuberance
    American Economic Review, 2008, 98, (3), 1163-77
    See also Working Paper (2007)
12. Near-term challenges for the U.S. economy
    Speech, 2008
13. Remarks on the U.S. economy
    Speech, 2008, (Jun 11)
14. Remarks on the U.S. economy and the state of the housing sector
    Speech, 2008, (Jun 6)
15. St. Louis Fed's approach to monetary policy won't change
    The Regional Economist, 2008, (Jul), 3
16. Systemic risk and the macroeconomy: an attempt at perspective
    Speech, 2008
17. The U.S. economy and financial market turmoil
    Speech, 2008
18. Worldwide macroeconomic stability and monetary policy rules
    Journal of Monetary Economics, 2008, 55, (Supplement 1), S34-S47
    See also Working Paper (2007)
19. Worry less about systemic risk, more about inflation
    The Regional Economist, 2008, (Oct), 3

2007

20. A leisurely reading of the life-cycle consumption data
    Journal of Monetary Economics, 2007, 54, (8), 2305-2320 View citations
    See also Working Paper (2006)
21. A tale of two crises
    Monetary Trends, 2007, (Nov)
22. Comments on Orphanides and Williams' "Robust monetary policy"
    Journal of Monetary Economics, 2007, 54, (5), 1436-1440
23. Determinacy, Learnability, and Monetary Policy Inertia
    Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 2007, 39, (5), 1177-1212 View citations
    See also Working Paper (2004)
24. Energy prices: In the mix or swept under the rug?
    National Economic Trends, 2007, (Apr)
25. Monetary policy as equilibrium selection
    Review, 2007, (Jul), 331-342 View citations

2006

26. Computing in economics and finance
    Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2006, 30, (9-10), 1441-1444
27. R Graphics
    Journal of Statistical Software, 2006, 16, (07)
28. The Taylor principle and recent FOMC policy
    Monetary Trends, 2006, (Sep)
29. The learnability criterion and monetary policy
    Review, 2006, (May), 203-217 View citations

2005

30. Did the Great Inflation Occur Despite Policymaker Commitment to a Taylor Rule?
    Review of Economic Dynamics, 2005, 8, (2), 324-359 View citations
    See also Working Paper (2004)
31. Escapist policy rules
    Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2005, 29, (11), 1841-1865 View citations
    See also Working Paper (2003)
32. Twist and shout, or back to the sixties
    National Economic Trends, 2005, (Mar)
33. Understanding the inflation targeting debate
    Monetary Trends, 2005, (Dec)

2004

34. 1994
    National Economic Trends, 2004, (Jul)
35. A crude crude oil calculation
    Monetary Trends, 2004, (Aug)
36. Central Bank Design in General Equilibrium
    Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 2004, 36, (1), 95-113 View citations
    See also Working Paper (2002)
37. How costly is sustained low inflation for the U.S. economy?
    Review, 2004, (May), 35-68 View citations
    See also Working Paper (1998)
38. Trend-reverting fluctuations in the life-cycle model
    Journal of Economic Theory, 2004, 119, (2), 334-356 View citations
    See also Working Paper (2001)

2003

39. Deflation, corrosive and otherwise
    National Economic Trends, 2003, (Jul)
40. Intermediaries and payments instruments
    Journal of Economic Theory, 2003, 109, (2), 172-197 View citations
    See also Working Paper (2002)
41. Japanese deflation loses something in the translation
    National Economic Trends, 2003, (Sep)
42. The value of inside and outside money
    Journal of Monetary Economics, 2003, 50, (2), 389-417 View citations
    See also Working Paper (2001)

2002

43. Learning about monetary policy rules
    Journal of Monetary Economics, 2002, 49, (6), 1105-1129 View citations
    See also Working Paper (2002)
44. Measuring recession severity
    Monetary Trends, 2002, (Sep)
45. Stag-nations
    National Economic Trends, 2002, (Jan)
46. Why the Fed should ignore the stock market
    Review, 2002, (Mar.), 35-42 View citations

2001

47. Ahead of the curve
    National Economic Trends, 2001, (Nov)
48. INTRODUCTION TO THE SPECIAL ISSUE: NEW APPROACHES TO LEARNING IN MACROECONOMIC MODELS
    Macroeconomic Dynamics, 2001, 5, (02), 143-147
49. LEARNING AND EXCESS VOLATILITY
    Macroeconomic Dynamics, 2001, 5, (02), 272-302 View citations
    See also Working Paper (1999)
50. New economy-new policy rules
    Review, 2001, (May), 57-66 View citations
    See also Working Paper (2001)
51. Private and Public Circulating Liabilities
    Journal of Economic Theory, 2001, 99, (1-2), 59-116 View citations
    See also Working Paper (2000)

2000

52. An oil price shock - or a shocking price of oil?
    National Economic Trends, 2000, (Apr)
53. What constitutes a high price of oil?
    National Economic Trends, 2000, (Oct)

1999

54. An empirically plausible model of low real interest rates and unbacked government debt
    Journal of Monetary Economics, 1999, 44, (3), 477-508 View citations
55. Historical CPI inflation under current calculation methods
    National Economic Trends, 1999, (Aug)
56. Phillips relations in a nutshell
    National Economic Trends, 1999, (Mar)
57. Testing long-run monetary neutrality propositions: lessons from the recent research
    Review, 1999, (Nov), 57-77 View citations
58. Using Genetic Algorithms to Model the Evolution of Heterogeneous Beliefs
    Computational Economics, 1999, 13, (1), 41-60 View citations
    See also Working Paper (1994)

1998

59. A model of learning and emulation with artificial adaptive agents
    Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 1998, 22, (2), 179-207 View citations
    See also Working Paper (1994)
60. Deflation and economic growth
    National Economic Trends, 1998, (Mar)
61. LEARNING AND THE STABILITY OF CYCLES
    Macroeconomic Dynamics, 1998, 2, (01), 22-48 View citations
62. Trading trade-offs?
    National Economic Trends, 1998, (Dec) View citations
63. What has become of the "stability-through-inflation" argument?
    Review, 1998, (Jan), 37-45

1997

64. Inflation and labor cost
    National Economic Trends, 1997, (Dec)
65. Long expansions
    National Economic Trends, 1997, (Apr)
66. The Transition from Stagnation to Growth: An Adaptive Learning Approach
    Journal of Economic Growth, 1997, 2, (2), 185-209 View citations

1996

67. Price stability and economic growth: proceedings of the Twentieth Annual Economic Policy Conference of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
    Proceedings, 1996, (May)

1995

68. The long-run relationship between inflation and output in postwar economies
    Journal of Monetary Economics, 1995, 36, (3), 477-496 View citations
69. U.S. official forecasts of G-7 economies, 1976-90
    Review, 1995, (Mar), 39-47

1994

70. Learning Equilibria
    Journal of Economic Theory, 1994, 64, (2), 468-485 View citations
    See also Working Paper (1991)
71. Measures of money and the quantity theory
    Review, 1994, (Jan), 19-30 View citations

1993

72. Nonlinearity and Chaos in Economic Models: Implications for Policy Decisions
    Economic Journal, 1993, 103, (419), 849-67 View citations
    See also Working Paper (1992)

1992

73. Samuelson's model of money with n-period lifetimes
    Review, 1992, (May), 67-82 View citations
74. The FOMC in 1991: an elusive recovery
    Review, 1992, (Mar), 41-61
75. Time-varying parameters and nonconvergence to rational expectations under least squares learning
    Economics Letters, 1992, 40, (2), 159-166 View citations

1991

76. Learning, rational expectations and policy: a summary of recent research
    Review, 1991, (Jan), 50-60 View citations
77. The FOMC in 1990: onset of recession
    Review, 1991, (May), 31-53

Editor

1. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control
   Elsevier