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Details about George William Evans

E-mail:
Homepage:http://darkwing.uoregon.edu/~gevans/
Phone:541-346-4662
Postal address:Department of Economics, 1285 University of Oregon, Eugene, OR 97403-1285 USA
Workplace:Department of Economics, University of Oregon, (more information at EDIRC)

Access statistics for papers by George William Evans.

Last updated 2014-07-27. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: pev4


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Working Papers

2014

  1. Eductive Stability in Real Business Cycle Models
    CDMA Working Paper Series, Centre for Dynamic Macroeconomic Analysis Downloads
    Also in University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department (2010) Downloads View citations (1)
    PSE Working Papers, HAL (2010) Downloads
  2. Liquidity Traps and Expectation Dynamics: Fiscal Stimulus or Fiscal Austerity?
    CDMA Working Paper Series, Centre for Dynamic Macroeconomic Analysis Downloads
    Also in CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2012) Downloads View citations (1)
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2012) Downloads
    Research Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland (2012) Downloads View citations (1)

2013

  1. Are Sunspots Learnable? An Experimental Investigation in a Simple General-Equilibrium Model
    Working Papers, Bank of Canada Downloads
  2. Bubbles, Crashes and Risk
    CDMA Working Paper Series, Centre for Dynamic Macroeconomic Analysis Downloads View citations (2)
    See also Journal Article in Economics Letters (2013)
  3. Fiscal Policy and Learning
    CDMA Working Paper Series, Centre for Dynamic Macroeconomic Analysis Downloads
    Also in SIRE Discussion Papers, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE) (2012) Downloads View citations (3)
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2012) Downloads View citations (3)
    Research Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland (2012) Downloads View citations (4)

2012

  1. Bayesian Model Averaging, Learning and Model Selection
    CDMA Working Paper Series, Centre for Dynamic Macroeconomic Analysis Downloads
    Also in CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2012) Downloads
    SIRE Discussion Papers, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE) (2012) Downloads
  2. E-stability in the Stochastic Ramsey Model
    CDMA Working Paper Series, Centre for Dynamic Macroeconomic Analysis Downloads
    See also Journal Article in Economics Letters (2013)
  3. Finite Horizon Learning
    CDMA Working Paper Series, Centre for Dynamic Macroeconomic Analysis Downloads View citations (2)
    Also in University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department (2010) Downloads View citations (3)
    SIRE Discussion Papers, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE) (2012) Downloads View citations (2)
  4. Policy Change and Learning in the RBC Model
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers Downloads
    Also in CDMA Working Paper Series, Centre for Dynamic Macroeconomic Analysis (2011) Downloads View citations (2)
    Research Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland (2011) Downloads View citations (2)

    See also Journal Article in Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control (2013)

2011

  1. Learning as a Rational Foundation for Macroeconomics and Finance
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers Downloads View citations (5)
    Also in Research Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland (2011) Downloads View citations (5)
  2. Notes on Agents¡¯ Behavioral Rules Under Adaptive Learning and Studies of Monetary Policy
    CDMA Working Paper Series, Centre for Dynamic Macroeconomic Analysis Downloads View citations (19)
  3. Notes on Agents’ Behavioral Rules Under Adaptive Learning and Studies of Monetary Policy
    SIRE Discussion Papers, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE) Downloads View citations (4)
  4. The Stagnation Regime of the New Keynesian Model and Current US Policy
    CDMA Working Paper Series, Centre for Dynamic Macroeconomic Analysis Downloads
    Also in University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department (2010) Downloads
    SIRE Discussion Papers, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE) (2011) Downloads

2010

  1. Does Ricardian Equivalence Hold When Expectations are not Rational?
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers Downloads View citations (1)
    Also in Research Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland (2010) Downloads View citations (1)
    University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department (2010) Downloads
    SIRE Discussion Papers, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE) (2010) Downloads View citations (2)
    CDMA Working Paper Series, Centre for Dynamic Macroeconomic Analysis (2010) Downloads View citations (1)

    See also Journal Article in Journal of Money, Credit and Banking (2012)
  2. Expectations, Deflation Traps and Macroeconomic Policy
    University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department Downloads
    Also in CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2009) Downloads
    Research Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland (2009) Downloads
  3. Learning about Risk and Return: A Simple Model of Bubbles and Crashes
    SIRE Discussion Papers, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE) Downloads
    Also in University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department Downloads
    CDMA Working Paper Series, Centre for Dynamic Macroeconomic Analysis (2010) Downloads

    See also Journal Article in American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics (2011)
  4. Monetary Policy and Heterogeneous Expectations
    University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department Downloads View citations (4)
    Also in SIRE Discussion Papers, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE) (2010) Downloads View citations (5)
    CDMA Working Paper Series, Centre for Dynamic Macroeconomic Analysis (2010) Downloads View citations (8)

    See also Journal Article in Economic Theory (2011)

2009

  1. A Model of Near-Rational Exuberance
    CDMA Working Paper Series, Centre for Dynamic Macroeconomic Analysis Downloads
    Also in SIRE Discussion Papers, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE) (2009) Downloads
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (2007) Downloads View citations (2)

    See also Journal Article in Macroeconomic Dynamics (2010)

2008

  1. Anticipated Fiscal Policy and Adaptive Learning
    University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department Downloads
    Also in CDMA Working Paper Series, Centre for Dynamic Macroeconomic Analysis (2007) Downloads View citations (1)
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2007) Downloads View citations (1)
    Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge (2007) Downloads View citations (6)

    See also Journal Article in Journal of Monetary Economics (2009)
  2. Expectations, Learning and Monetary Policy: An Overview of Recent Rersearch
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers Downloads View citations (4)
    Also in CDMA Working Paper Series, Centre for Dynamic Macroeconomic Analysis (2008) Downloads View citations (12)
    Working Papers Central Bank of Chile, Central Bank of Chile (2008) Downloads View citations (1)
    SIRE Discussion Papers, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE) (2008) Downloads View citations (8)
    Research Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland (2007) Downloads View citations (4)

    See also Chapter (2009)
  3. Generalized Stochastic Gradient Learning
    University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department Downloads
    Also in NBER Technical Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2005) Downloads View citations (11)
    CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo Group Munich (2005) Downloads View citations (10)
    Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge (2005) Downloads View citations (15)

    See also Journal Article in International Economic Review (2010)
  4. Learning and Macroeconomics
    University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department Downloads View citations (2)
    See also Journal Article in Annual Review of Economics (2009)
  5. Representations and Sunspot Stability
    University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department Downloads
    See also Journal Article in Macroeconomic Dynamics (2011)
  6. Robust Learning Stability with Operational Monetary Policy Rules
    CDMA Working Paper Series, Centre for Dynamic Macroeconomic Analysis Downloads
    Also in Research Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland (2007) Downloads View citations (2)
    Working Papers Central Bank of Chile, Central Bank of Chile (2008) Downloads
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2008) Downloads

    See also Chapter (2009)

2007

  1. Liquidity Traps, Learning and Stagnation
    Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy Downloads View citations (2)
    Also in Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge (2007) Downloads View citations (21)
    University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department (2007) Downloads
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2007) Downloads View citations (2)

    See also Journal Article in European Economic Review (2008)
  2. Monetary Policy, Endogenous Inattention, and the Volatility Trade-off
    University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department Downloads View citations (2)
    Also in Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland (2004) Downloads View citations (1)
    2006 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics (2006) Downloads View citations (2)

    See also Journal Article in Economic Journal (2009)
  3. Monetary policy, judgment and near-rational exuberance
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Downloads View citations (2)
    See also Journal Article in American Economic Review (2008)
  4. Policy Interaction, Learning and the Fiscal Theory of Prices
    University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department Downloads
    Also in CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2002) Downloads View citations (6)
    Research Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland (2002) Downloads View citations (11)

    See also Journal Article in Macroeconomic Dynamics (2007)

2006

  1. Adaptive Learning, Endogenous Inattention, and Changes in Monetary Policy
    University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department Downloads View citations (2)
    Also in Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland (2006) Downloads View citations (1)
  2. Can Perpetual Learning Explain the Forward Premium Puzzle?
    University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department Downloads View citations (17)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Monetary Economics (2008)
  3. Implementing Optimal Monetary Policy in New-Keynesian Models with Inertia
    University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department Downloads
    See also Journal Article in The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics (2010)
  4. Model Uncertainty and Endogenous Volatility
    University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department Downloads
    Also in Computing in Economics and Finance 2005, Society for Computational Economics (2005) View citations (9)

    See also Journal Article in Review of Economic Dynamics (2007)
  5. Near-Rational Exuberance
    University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department Downloads
    Also in Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge (2005) Downloads View citations (4)
    Working Paper Series, European Central Bank (2005) Downloads View citations (12)
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (2004) Downloads
    2004 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics (2004)
  6. Optimal Constrained Interest-rate Rules
    University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department Downloads
    Also in Computing in Economics and Finance 2004, Society for Computational Economics (2004)

    See also Journal Article in Journal of Money, Credit and Banking (2007)
  7. Stable Finite-State Markov Sunspots
    University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department Downloads

2005

  1. A Simple Recursive Forecasting Model
    University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department Downloads
    See also Journal Article in Economics Letters (2006)
  2. An Interview with Thomas J. Sargent
    University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department Downloads
    Also in CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo Group Munich (2005) Downloads View citations (7)

    See also Journal Article in Macroeconomic Dynamics (2005)
  3. Are Hyperinflationary Paths Learnable?
    University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department Downloads
  4. Coordination on Saddle-Path Solutions: The Eductive Viewpoint -- Linear Multivariate Models
    University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department Downloads
    Also in DELTA Working Papers, DELTA (Ecole normale supérieure) (2003) Downloads

    See also Journal Article in Journal of Economic Theory (2005)
  5. Indeterminacy and the Stability Puzzle in Non-Convex Economies
    University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department Downloads
    See also Journal Article in The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics (2005)
  6. Monetary Policy, Expectations and Commitment
    University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department Downloads
    Also in CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2002) Downloads View citations (23)
    Working Paper Series, European Central Bank (2002) Downloads View citations (4)
    University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department (2004) Downloads View citations (1)

    See also Journal Article in Scandinavian Journal of Economics (2006)
  7. Stable Sunspot Equilibira in a Cash-in-Advance Economy
    University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department Downloads
    Also in Working Papers, Barcelona Graduate School of Economics (2003) Downloads
    CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo Group Munich (2001) Downloads View citations (3)
    Economics Working Papers, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra (2005) Downloads View citations (2)

    See also Journal Article in The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics (2007)
  8. The E-correspondence Principle
    University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department Downloads
    Also in CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo Group Munich (2004) Downloads

    See also Journal Article in Economica (2007)

2004

  1. "Adaptive Expectations, Underparameterization and the Lucas Critique
    University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department Downloads
    Also in University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, UC San Diego (2001) Downloads View citations (6)

    See also Journal Article in Journal of Monetary Economics (2006)
  2. Adaptive Learning and Monetary Policy Design
    University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department Downloads
    Also in CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2003) Downloads View citations (73)
    Macroeconomics, EconWPA (2004) Downloads View citations (2)
    Research Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland (2002) Downloads View citations (13)

    See also Journal Article in Proceedings (2003)
  3. Friedman’s money supply rule vs optimal interest rate policy
    Macroeconomics, EconWPA Downloads
    Also in Research Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland (2003) Downloads View citations (11)

    See also Journal Article in Scottish Journal of Political Economy (2003)
  4. Intrinsic Heterogeneity in Expectation Formation
    University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department Downloads View citations (1)
    Also in Computing in Economics and Finance 2003, Society for Computational Economics (2003) View citations (3)

    See also Journal Article in Journal of Economic Theory (2006)
  5. Monetary Policy and Stable Indeterminacy with Inertia
    University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department Downloads
    See also Journal Article in Economics Letters (2005)
  6. Monetary Policy, Indeterminacy and Learning
    University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department Downloads
    Also in CFS Working Paper Series, Center for Financial Studies (CFS) (2003) Downloads View citations (1)

    See also Journal Article in Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control (2005)
  7. Policy Interaction, Expectations and the Liquidity Trap
    University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department Downloads View citations (1)
    Also in Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta (2003) Downloads View citations (3)
    Macroeconomics, EconWPA (2004) Downloads
    Research Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland (2003) Downloads View citations (3)

    See also Journal Article in Review of Economic Dynamics (2005)

2003

  1. Are Stationary Hyperinflation Paths Learnable?
    CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo Group Munich Downloads
    Also in CFS Working Paper Series, Center for Financial Studies (CFS) (2003) Downloads View citations (4)
  2. Comment on "Imperfect Knowledge, Inflation Expectations and Monetary Policy" by Athanasios Orphanides and John C. Williams
    University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department Downloads
  3. Freidman's Money Supply Rule versus Optimal Interest Rate Policy
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers Downloads View citations (2)
    Also in University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department (2003) Downloads View citations (1)
  4. Policy Interaction, Expectation and Liquidity Trap
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers Downloads View citations (3)
  5. Stable Sunspot Solutions in Models with Predetermined Variables
    University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department Downloads
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control (2005)

2002

  1. Existence of Adaptively Stable Sunspot Equilibria near an Indeterminate Steady State
    University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department Downloads
    Also in CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo Group Munich (2001) Downloads View citations (4)

    See also Journal Article in Journal of Economic Theory (2003)
  2. Expectational Stability of Stationary Sunspot Equilibria in a Forward-looking Linear Model
    University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department Downloads
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control (2003)
  3. Stable Noisy K-state Markov Sunspots
    University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department Downloads

2001

  1. Coordination on saddle path solutions: the eductive viewpoint
    University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department Downloads View citations (2)
  2. Expectational Stability of Resonant Frequency Sunspot Equilibria
    CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo Group Munich Downloads View citations (2)
  3. Expectations and the Stability Problem for Optimal Monetary Policies
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers Downloads View citations (21)
    Also in Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies, Deutsche Bundesbank, Research Centre (2000) Downloads View citations (6)
    University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department (2001) Downloads View citations (1)
    University of Helsinki, Department of Economics, Department of Economics (2000) View citations (6)

    See also Journal Article in Review of Economic Studies (2003)

1999

  1. Coordination on Saddle Path Solutions: the Eductive Viewpoint. 1- Linear Univariate Models
    Working Papers, Laval - Laboratoire Econometrie
    Also in DELTA Working Papers, DELTA (Ecole normale supérieure) (1999)

    See also Journal Article in Macroeconomic Dynamics (2003)

1998

  1. Stochastic Gradient Learning in the Cobweb Model
    University of Helsinki, Department of Economics, Department of Economics View citations (7)
    See also Journal Article in Economics Letters (1998)

1996

  1. Convergence in Monetary Inflation Models with Heterogeneous Learning Rules
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers Downloads View citations (27)
    See also Journal Article in Macroeconomic Dynamics (2001)
  2. Growth Cycles
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (3)
    Also in Home Pages, Stanford University Downloads View citations (1)

    See also Journal Article in American Economic Review (1998)

1994

  1. Information, forecasts and measurement of the business cycle
    ULB Institutional Repository, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles View citations (25)
    Also in CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (1993) Downloads View citations (2)

    See also Journal Article in Journal of Monetary Economics (1994)

1993

  1. Adaptive Forecasts
    CEP Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE View citations (4)

1992

  1. Adaptive Learning and Expectational Stability: An Introduction - (Now published as Ch.4 in 'Learning Rationality in Economics', A Kirman and M Salmon (eds), 1995, Basil Blackwell, Oxford), pp.102-126.)
    STICERD - Theoretical Economics Paper Series, Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines, LSE View citations (2)
  2. Information
    CEP Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE View citations (2)
  3. Local Convergence of Recursive Learning to Steady States and Cycles in Stochastic Nonlinear Models - (Now published in 'Econometrica', vol.63 (1995), pp.195-206.)
    STICERD - Theoretical Economics Paper Series, Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines, LSE View citations (1)
  4. On the Local Stability of Sunspot Equilibria Under Adaptive Learning Rules - (Now published in 'Journal of Economic Theory', vol.64 (1994), pp.142-161.)
    STICERD - Theoretical Economics Paper Series, Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines, LSE
  5. Rationalizability, Strong Rationality and Expectational Stability
    DELTA Working Papers, DELTA (Ecole normale supérieure)
    See also Journal Article in Games and Economic Behavior (1993)
  6. Rationalizability, Strong Rationality and Expectational Stability (Now published in Games and Economic Behavior, Special Issue on Learning Dynamics, vol.5 (Oct. 1993), pp.632-646).)
    STICERD - Theoretical Economics Paper Series, Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines, LSE

1991

  1. On the Preservation of Deterministic Cycles when some Agents Perceive them to be Random Fluctuations (Now published in Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, vol.17 (1993), pp.705-721.)
    STICERD - Theoretical Economics Paper Series, Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines, LSE

1990

  1. Learning, Convergence, and Stability with Multiple Rational Expectations Equilibria - (Now published in 'European Economic Review', vol.38 (1994), pp.1071-1098.)
    STICERD - Theoretical Economics Paper Series, Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines, LSE

1989

  1. Expectation Calculation and Macroeconomic Dynamics (Now published in American Economic Review, (March 1992).)
    STICERD - Theoretical Economics Paper Series, Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines, LSE
  2. On the Robustness of Bubbles in Linear RE Models (Now published in International Economic Review, vol.33, No.1 (1992), pp.1-14.)
    STICERD - Theoretical Economics Paper Series, Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines, LSE

1988

  1. Calculation Equilibria
    Working Papers, Stanford - Institute for Thoretical Economics

Undated

  1. Asset Return Dynamics and Learning
    University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article in Review of Financial Studies (2010)
  2. Economic Dynamics with Learning: New Stability Results
    Computing in Economics and Finance 1997, Society for Computational Economics Downloads View citations (2)
    See also Journal Article in Review of Economic Studies (1998)

Journal Articles

2013

  1. Bubbles, crashes and risk
    Economics Letters, 2013, 120, (2), 254-258 Downloads View citations (2)
    See also Working Paper (2013)
  2. E-stability in the stochastic Ramsey model
    Economics Letters, 2013, 118, (2), 407-410 Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Working Paper (2012)
  3. Policy change and learning in the RBC model
    Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2013, 37, (10), 1947-1971 Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Working Paper (2012)

2012

  1. Comment
    NBER Macroeconomics Annual, 2012, 26, (1), 61 - 71 Downloads
  2. Does Ricardian Equivalence Hold When Expectations Are Not Rational?
    Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 2012, 44, (7), 1259-1283 Downloads View citations (6)
    See also Working Paper (2010)

2011

  1. Learning about Risk and Return: A Simple Model of Bubbles and Crashes
    American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 2011, 3, (3), 159-91 Downloads View citations (21)
    See also Working Paper (2010)
  2. Monetary policy and heterogeneous expectations
    Economic Theory, 2011, 47, (2), 365-393 Downloads View citations (4)
    See also Working Paper (2010)
  3. REPRESENTATIONS AND SUNSPOT STABILITY
    Macroeconomic Dynamics, 2011, 15, (01), 80-92 Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Working Paper (2008)

2010

  1. A MODEL OF NEAR-RATIONAL EXUBERANCE
    Macroeconomic Dynamics, 2010, 14, (02), 166-188 Downloads View citations (9)
    See also Working Paper (2009)
  2. Asset Return Dynamics and Learning
    Review of Financial Studies, 2010, 23, (4), 1651-1680 Downloads View citations (18)
    See also Working Paper
  3. Corrigendum: Monetary Policy, Expectations and Commitment
    Scandinavian Journal of Economics, 2010, 112, (3), 640-641 Downloads View citations (1)
  4. GENERALIZED STOCHASTIC GRADIENT LEARNING
    International Economic Review, 2010, 51, (1), 237-262 Downloads View citations (5)
    See also Working Paper (2008)
  5. Implementing Optimal Monetary Policy in New-Keynesian Models with Inertia
    The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, 2010, 10, (1), 1-25 Downloads View citations (2)
    See also Working Paper (2006)

2009

  1. Anticipated fiscal policy and adaptive learning
    Journal of Monetary Economics, 2009, 56, (7), 930-953 Downloads View citations (9)
    See also Working Paper (2008)
  2. Learning and Macroeconomics
    Annual Review of Economics, 2009, 1, (1), 421-451 Downloads View citations (8)
    See also Working Paper (2008)
  3. Monetary Policy, Endogenous Inattention and the Volatility Trade-off
    Economic Journal, 2009, 119, (534), 123-157 Downloads View citations (5)
    See also Working Paper (2007)

2008

  1. Can perpetual learning explain the forward-premium puzzle?
    Journal of Monetary Economics, 2008, 55, (3), 477-490 Downloads View citations (18)
    See also Working Paper (2006)
  2. Liquidity traps, learning and stagnation
    European Economic Review, 2008, 52, (8), 1438-1463 Downloads View citations (6)
    See also Working Paper (2007)
  3. Monetary Policy, Judgment, and Near-Rational Exuberance
    American Economic Review, 2008, 98, (3), 1163-77 Downloads View citations (6)
    See also Working Paper (2007)
  4. Monetary and Fiscal Policy under Learning in the Presence of a Liquidity Trap
    Monetary and Economic Studies, 2008, 26, 59-86 Downloads

2007

  1. Model Uncertainty and Endogenous Volatility
    Review of Economic Dynamics, 2007, 10, (2), 207-237 Downloads View citations (23)
    See also Working Paper (2006)
  2. Optimal Constrained Interest-Rate Rules
    Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 2007, 39, (6), 1335-1356 Downloads View citations (7)
    See also Working Paper (2006)
  3. POLICY INTERACTION, LEARNING, AND THE FISCAL THEORY OF PRICES
    Macroeconomic Dynamics, 2007, 11, (05), 665-690 Downloads View citations (4)
    See also Working Paper (2007)
  4. Stable Sunspot Equilibria in a Cash-in-Advance Economy
    The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, 2007, 7, (1), 1-38 Downloads View citations (5)
    See also Working Paper (2005)
  5. The E-Correspondence Principle
    Economica, 2007, 74, (293), 33-50 Downloads
    See also Working Paper (2005)

2006

  1. A simple recursive forecasting model
    Economics Letters, 2006, 91, (2), 158-166 Downloads View citations (66)
    See also Working Paper (2005)
  2. Adaptive expectations, underparameterization and the Lucas critique
    Journal of Monetary Economics, 2006, 53, (2), 249-264 Downloads View citations (28)
    See also Working Paper (2004)
  3. Are hyperinflation paths learnable?
    Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2006, 30, (12), 2725-2748 Downloads View citations (16)
  4. Intrinsic heterogeneity in expectation formation
    Journal of Economic Theory, 2006, 127, (1), 264-295 Downloads View citations (64)
    See also Working Paper (2004)
  5. Monetary Policy, Expectations and Commitment
    Scandinavian Journal of Economics, 2006, 108, (1), 15-38 Downloads View citations (43)
    See also Working Paper (2005)

2005

  1. AN INTERVIEW WITH THOMAS J. SARGENT
    Macroeconomic Dynamics, 2005, 9, (04), 561-583 Downloads View citations (7)
    See also Working Paper (2005)
  2. Coordination on saddle-path solutions: the eductive viewpoint--linear multivariate models
    Journal of Economic Theory, 2005, 124, (2), 202-229 Downloads View citations (14)
    See also Working Paper (2005)
  3. Indeterminacy and the Stability Puzzle in Non-Convex Economies
    The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, 2005, 5, (1), 1-46 Downloads View citations (8)
    See also Working Paper (2005)
  4. Monetary policy and stable indeterminacy with inertia
    Economics Letters, 2005, 87, (1), 1-7 Downloads View citations (6)
    See also Working Paper (2004)
  5. Monetary policy, indeterminacy and learning
    Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2005, 29, (11), 1809-1840 Downloads View citations (33)
    See also Working Paper (2004)
  6. Policy Interaction, Expectations and the Liquidity Trap
    Review of Economic Dynamics, 2005, 8, (2), 303-323 Downloads View citations (13)
    See also Working Paper (2004)
  7. Stable sunspot solutions in models with predetermined variables
    Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2005, 29, (4), 601-625 Downloads View citations (13)
    See also Working Paper (2003)
  8. The design of monetary and fiscal policy: a global perspective - comments
    Proceedings, 2005 Downloads View citations (4)

2003

  1. Adaptive learning and monetary policy design
    Proceedings, 2003, 1045-1084 View citations (73)
    See also Working Paper (2004)
  2. COORDINATION ON SADDLE-PATH SOLUTIONS: THE EDUCTIVE VIEWPOINT LINEAR UNIVARIATE MODELS
    Macroeconomic Dynamics, 2003, 7, (01), 42-62 Downloads View citations (13)
    See also Working Paper (1999)
  3. Existence of adaptively stable sunspot equilibria near an indeterminate steady state
    Journal of Economic Theory, 2003, 111, (1), 125-134 Downloads View citations (10)
    See also Working Paper (2002)
  4. Expectational stability of stationary sunspot equilibria in a forward-looking linear model
    Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2003, 28, (1), 171-181 Downloads View citations (12)
    See also Working Paper (2002)
  5. Expectations and the Stability Problem for Optimal Monetary Policies
    Review of Economic Studies, 2003, 70, (4), 807-824 Downloads View citations (34)
    Also in Review of Economic Studies, 2003, 70, (4), 807-824 (2003) Downloads View citations (112)

    See also Working Paper (2001)
  6. Friedman's Money Supply Rule vs. Optimal Interest Rate Policy
    Scottish Journal of Political Economy, 2003, 50, (5), 550-566 Downloads View citations (6)
    See also Working Paper (2004)
  7. INTRODUCTION TO THE SPECIAL ISSUE: COORDINATION IN DYNAMIC EXPECTATIONS MODELS: LEARNING AND SUNSPOTS
    Macroeconomic Dynamics, 2003, 7, (01), 3-6 Downloads

2001

  1. CONVERGENCE IN MONETARY INFLATION MODELS WITH HETEROGENEOUS LEARNING RULES
    Macroeconomic Dynamics, 2001, 5, (01), 1-31 Downloads View citations (27)
    See also Working Paper (1996)
  2. Expectations in Macroeconomics Adaptive versus Eductive Learning
    Revue économique, 2001, 52, (3), 573-582 Downloads View citations (5)
    Also in Revue Économique, 2001, 52, (3), 573-582 (2001) Downloads View citations (5)

2000

  1. Convergence for difference equations with vanishing time-dependence, with applications to adaptive learning
    Economic Theory, 2000, 15, (3), 717-725 Downloads View citations (5)

1998

  1. CALCULATION, ADAPTATION AND RATIONAL EXPECTATIONS
    Macroeconomic Dynamics, 1998, 2, (02), 156-182 Downloads View citations (10)
  2. Convergence of learning algorithms without a projection facility
    Journal of Mathematical Economics, 1998, 30, (1), 59-86 Downloads View citations (6)
  3. Economic Dynamics with Learning: New Stability Results
    Review of Economic Studies, 1998, 65, (1), 23-44 Downloads View citations (46)
    See also Working Paper
  4. Growth Cycles
    American Economic Review, 1998, 88, (3), 495-515 Downloads View citations (59)
    See also Working Paper (1996)
  5. Stochastic gradient learning in the cobweb model
    Economics Letters, 1998, 61, (3), 333-337 Downloads View citations (9)
    See also Working Paper (1998)

1996

  1. Least squares learning with heterogeneous expectations
    Economics Letters, 1996, 53, (2), 197-201 Downloads View citations (10)

1995

  1. Local Convergence of Recursive Learning to Steady States and Cycles in Stochastic Nonlinear Models
    Econometrica, 1995, 63, (1), 195-206 Downloads View citations (40)

1994

  1. Convergence of least squares learning to a non-stationary equilibrium
    Economics Letters, 1994, 46, (2), 131-136 Downloads
  2. Information, forecasts, and measurement of the business cycle
    Journal of Monetary Economics, 1994, 33, (2), 233-254 Downloads View citations (25)
    See also Working Paper (1994)
  3. Learning, convergence, and stability with multiple rational expectations equilibria
    European Economic Review, 1994, 38, (5), 1071-1098 Downloads View citations (24)
  4. On the Local Stability of Sunspot Equilibria under Adaptive Learning Rules
    Journal of Economic Theory, 1994, 64, (1), 142-161 Downloads View citations (28)

1993

  1. Adaptive forecasts, hysteresis, and endogenous fluctuations
    Economic Review, 1993, 3-13 Downloads View citations (25)
  2. Learning and economic fluctuations: Using fiscal policy to steer expectations
    European Economic Review, 1993, 37, (2-3), 595-602 Downloads View citations (2)
  3. On the preservation of deterministic cycles when some agents perceive them to be random fluctuations
    Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 1993, 17, (5-6), 705-721 Downloads View citations (8)
  4. Rationalizability, Strong Rationality, and Expectational Stability
    Games and Economic Behavior, 1993, 5, (4), 632-646 Downloads View citations (29)
    See also Working Paper (1992)
  5. Sectoral Imbalance and Unemployment in the United Kingdom: 1963-84
    Oxford Economic Papers, 1993, 45, (3), 440-56 Downloads

1992

  1. Expectation Calculation and Macroeconomic Dynamics
    American Economic Review, 1992, 82, (1), 207-24 Downloads View citations (56)
  2. On the Robustness of Bubbles in Linear RE Models
    International Economic Review, 1992, 33, (1), 1-14 Downloads View citations (26)

1991

  1. Pitfalls in Testing for Explosive Bubbles in Asset Prices
    American Economic Review, 1991, 81, (4), 922-30 Downloads View citations (162)

1989

  1. A measure of the U.S. output gap
    Economics Letters, 1989, 29, (4), 285-289 Downloads View citations (5)
  2. Output and Unemployment Dynamics in the United States: 1950-1985
    Journal of Applied Econometrics, 1989, 4, (3), 213-37 Downloads View citations (14)
  3. The Conduct of Monetary Policy and the Natural Rate of Unemployment: A Note
    Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 1989, 21, (4), 498-507 Downloads View citations (1)
  4. The fragility of sunspots and bubbles
    Journal of Monetary Economics, 1989, 23, (2), 297-317 Downloads View citations (37)

1987

  1. The structure of ARMA solutions to a general linear model with rational expectations
    Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 1987, 11, (1), 79-91 Downloads

1986

  1. A Complete Characterization of ARMA Solutions to Linear Rational Expectations Models
    Review of Economic Studies, 1986, 53, (2), 227-39 Downloads View citations (11)
  2. A Test for Speculative Bubbles in the Sterling-Dollar Exchange Rate: 1981-84
    American Economic Review, 1986, 76, (4), 621-36 Downloads View citations (17)
  3. Selection criteria for models with non-uniqueness
    Journal of Monetary Economics, 1986, 18, (2), 147-157 Downloads View citations (35)

1985

  1. Bottlenecks and the Phillips Curve: A Disaggregated Keynesian Model of Inflation, Output, and Unemployment
    Economic Journal, 1985, 95, (378), 345-57 Downloads View citations (4)
  2. Expectational Stability and the Multiple Equilibria Problem in Linear Rational Expectations Models
    The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 1985, 100, (4), 1217-33 Downloads View citations (50)

1984

  1. Tests for Rationality of the Carlson-Parkin Inflation Expectations Data
    Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 1984, 46, (1), 1-19 View citations (10)

Chapters

2011

  1. Comment on "Natural Expectations, Macroeconomic Dynamics, and Asset Pricing"
    A chapter in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2011, Volume 26, 2011, pp 61-71 Downloads

2009

  1. Expectations, Learning and Monetary Policy: An Overview of Recent Research
    Chapter 2 in Monetary Policy under Uncertainty and Learning, 2009, vol. 13, pp 027-076 Downloads View citations (2)
    See also Working Paper (2008)
  2. Robust Learning Stability with Operational Monetary Policy Rules
    Chapter 5 in Monetary Policy under Uncertainty and Learning, 2009, vol. 13, pp 145-170 Downloads View citations (2)
    See also Working Paper (2008)

1999

  1. Learning dynamics
    Chapter 07 in Handbook of Macroeconomics, 1999, vol. 1, Part A, pp 449-542 Downloads View citations (78)
 
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