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MACROECONOMIC POLICY AND ELECTIONS IN OECD DEMOCRACIES*

Alberto Alesina, Gerald D. Cohen and Nouriel Roubini

Economics and Politics, 1992, vol. 4, issue 1, 1-30

Abstract: The purpose of this paper is to test for evidence of opportunistic “political business cycles” in a large sample of 18 OECD economies. Our results can be summarized as follows: 1) We find very little evidence of pre‐electoral effects on economic outcomes, in particular, on GDP growth and unemployment; 2) We see some evidence of “political monetary cycles,” that is, expansionary monetary policy in election years; 3) We also observe indications of “political budget cycles,” or “loose” fiscal policy prior to elections; 4) Inflation exhibits a post‐electoral jump, which could be explained by either the pre‐electoral “loose” monetary and fiscal policies and/or by an opportunistic timing of increases in publicly controlled prices, or indirect taxes.

Date: 1992
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https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-0343.1992.tb00052.x

Related works:
Working Paper: Macroeconomic Policy and Elections in OECD Democracies (1992) Downloads
Working Paper: Macroeconomic Policy and Elections in OECD Democracies (1992) Downloads
Working Paper: Macroeconomic Policy and Elections in OECD Democracies (1991) Downloads
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