Labour Market Shocks and the Demand for Trade Protection: Evidence from Online Surveys

Dani Rodrik and Rafael Di Tella

No 14175, CEPR Discussion Papers from C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers

Abstract: We study preferences for government action in response to layoffs resulting from different types of labour-market shocks. We consider: technological change, a demand shift, bad management, and three kinds of international outsourcing. Support for government intervention rises sharply in response to shocks and is heavily biased towards trade protection. Trade shocks generate more demand for protectionism, and among trade shocks, outsourcing to a developing country elicits greater demand for protectionism. The ‘bad management’ shock is the only scenario that induces a desired increase in compensatory transfers. Trump supporters are more protectionist than Clinton supporters, but preferences seem easy to manipulate: Clinton supporters primed with trade shocks are as protectionist as baseline Trump voters. Highlighting labour abuses in the exporting country increases the demand for trade protection by Clinton supporters but not Trump supporters.

Date: 2019-12
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-int
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Related works:
Journal Article: Labour Market Shocks and the Demand for Trade Protection: Evidence from Online Surveys (2020)
Working Paper: Labor Market Shocks and the Demand for Trade Protection: Evidence from Online Surveys (2019)
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