Growth, Democracy, and Civil War

Antonio Ciccone and Brückner, Markus
Authors registered in the RePEc Author Service: Markus Brueckner

No 6568, CEPR Discussion Papers from C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers

Abstract: Are civil wars partly caused by low economic growth? And do democratic institutions attenuate the impact of low growth on the likelihood of civil war? Our approach to answering these questions exploits that international commodity prices have a significant effect on income growth in Sub-Saharan African countries. We show that lower income growth makes civil war more likely in non-democracies. This effect is significantly weaker in democracies. So much so, that we do not find a link between growth and civil war in countries with democratic institutions. Our results therefore point to an interaction between economic and institutional causes of civil war.

Keywords: Commodity prices; Rainfall; Growth; Civil war (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: O0 P0 Q0 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2007-11
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-afr, nep-cdm, nep-dev, nep-his and nep-pol
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (14)

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