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Financial cycles, credit bubbles and stabilization policies

Tobias Schuler and Luisa Corrado

No 2336, Working Paper Series from European Central Bank

Abstract: This paper analyzes the effects of several policy instruments for mitigating financial bubbles generated in the banking sector. We augment a New Keynesian macroeconomic framework by endogenizing boundedly-rational expectations on asset values of loan portfolios, allow for interbank trading and show how a credit bubble can develop from a financial innovation. We then evaluate the efficacy of several policy instruments in counteracting financial bubbles. We find that an endogenous capital requirement reduces the impact of a financial bubble significantly while central bank intervention (“leaning against the wind”) proves to be less effective. A welfare analysis ranks the policy reaction through an endogenous capital requirement highest. We therefore provide a rationale for the use of countercyclical capital buffers. JEL Classification: E44, E52

Keywords: Basel III; CCyB; credit-to-GDP gap (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2019-12
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ban, nep-cba, nep-dge, nep-fdg, nep-mac and nep-mon
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (6)

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Related works:
Working Paper: Financial Cycles, Credit Bubbles and Stabilization Policies (2018) Downloads
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20192336

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