Leveraged property cycles

Ivan Jaccard

No 2539, Working Paper Series from European Central Bank

Abstract: This paper studies the effects of imperfect risk-sharing between lenders and borrowers on commercial property prices and leverage. The key friction is that agents use different discount rates to evaluate future flows. Eliminating this pecuniary externality generates large reductions in the volatility of real estate prices and credit. Therefore, policies that enhance risk-sharing between lenders and borrowers reduce the magnitude of boom-bust cycles in real estate prices. We also introduce health shocks to study the effect of the COVID-19 crisis on the commercial property market. JEL Classification: E32, E44, G10, E23

Keywords: asset pricing; incomplete markets; leverage cycle; pecuniary externalities (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021-04
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-dge, nep-mac, nep-rmg and nep-ure
Note: 737337
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20212539

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