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The effects of uncertainty shocks: Implications of wealth inequality

Nisha Chikhale

European Economic Review, 2023, vol. 154, issue C

Abstract: This paper investigates whether and how the effects of time-varying macroeconomic uncertainty depend on the distribution of wealth. I show that increases in wealth inequality amplify the responses to uncertainty shocks. Using deciles of the distribution of wealth along with a series of macroeconomic volatility for the United States, I find that consumption growth falls by approximately 0.25 percentage points more in response to a one standard deviation uncertainty shock when wealth inequality is high relative to when it is low. In order to understand the nonlinear effects of uncertainty on consumption growth, I consider a two-agent New Keynesian model. I calibrate this simple model to qualitatively match the empirical responses of consumption growth to a one standard deviation uncertainty shock and show that nominal rigidities are key to magnifying the effects of uncertainty under high wealth inequality.

Keywords: Keywords; Wealth inequality; Volatility; Sticky-price model; Uncertainty shocks (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:eecrev:v:154:y:2023:i:c:s0014292123000417

DOI: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2023.104412

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