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Monetary policy and the wage inflation-unemployment tradeoff

Ricardo Duque Gabriel

European Economic Review, 2023, vol. 159, issue C

Abstract: Using newly assembled data for 18 advanced economies between 1870 and 2019, I study how monetary policy affects wage inflation and unemployment and document two key findings regarding their tradeoff. First, the wage Phillips curve displays a time-varying slope. Second, the tradeoff becomes weaker in low price inflation environments due to a stronger unemployment rate and a muted wage inflation response to monetary policy. These findings lend support to the idea that monetary policy has state-dependent effects with the central banks’ ability in exploring the tradeoff being impaired by a low price inflation environment.

Keywords: Phillips curve; Phillips multiplier; Wage inflation; Unemployment; Monetary policy; Economic history (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E24 E31 E52 N10 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:eecrev:v:159:y:2023:i:c:s0014292123001939

DOI: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2023.104565

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